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billryan
billryan
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September 29th, 2018 at 2:35:51 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG

Well, I did account for 'normal' injuries throughout the season that happen to every team, maybe someone gets dinged up for a week or two etc, but if you're going to sit here and tell me the proper way to handicap is to account for a star player on the team having a major injury for say 4 months or more where they miss more than half of the season, then you either don't know what you're doing or you're just looking to troll. If something like that were to happen, the lines would change heavily. Who in their right mind would base an analysis on the very slim chance of a major injury happening to one of the best players on the team? If it happens, it happens, that's why sports is hard to beat.

What you're basically saying is Vegas doesn't know what they're doing either because let's say Lebron goes down for the whole year before the season began or early in the season, do you think the original line of 48.5 team wins for the lakers or whatever it was would remain the same or would it go down to something like 30-35 wins? Why was Vegas so lazy to not forecast a major injury to LeBron?

Once again, nice try.



What you failed to account for was the inevitable curse that follows you around. You know these injuries wouldn't have happened had you bet on the Nets.
TomG
TomG
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September 29th, 2018 at 2:48:43 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG

Well, I did account for 'normal' injuries throughout the season that happen to every team, maybe someone gets dinged up for a week or two etc, but if you're going to sit here and tell me the proper way to handicap is to account for a star player on the team having a major injury for say 4 months or more where they miss more than half of the season, then you either don't know what you're doing or you're just looking to troll. If something like that were to happen, the lines would change heavily. Who in their right mind would base an analysis on the very slim chance of a major injury happening to one of the best players on the team? If it happens, it happens, that's why sports is hard to beat.

What you're basically saying is Vegas doesn't know what they're doing either because let's say Lebron goes down for the whole year before the season began or early in the season, do you think the original line of 48.5 team wins for the lakers or whatever it was would remain the same or would it go down to something like 30-35 wins? Why was Vegas so lazy to not forecast a major injury to LeBron?

Once again, nice try.



Thank you for the clarification. I have now learned why this bet must be considered a "lock". I also learned the only possible way it could lose is by injuries or conspiracy. As well as the correct probability to assign to injuries in the NBA: "slim". I will make a sincere effort to never troll you again
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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September 29th, 2018 at 2:59:00 PM permalink
Why canít the site auto mask profanities?
billryan
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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September 29th, 2018 at 3:10:53 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

Why canít the site auto mask profanities?



Just use" boffed".
Puckerbutt
Puckerbutt 
Joined: Sep 24, 2013
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September 29th, 2018 at 5:16:27 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Just use" boffed".

If this is a reference to the Kavanaugh yearbook - then the word used was "boofed".
If'n I'd a knowed you wanted to have went with me - I'd a seen that you got to get to go.
billryan
billryan
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September 29th, 2018 at 7:22:06 PM permalink
Quote: Puckerbutt

If this is a reference to the Kavanaugh yearbook - then the word used was "boofed".



Or just say fart?
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
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November 16th, 2018 at 8:57:27 PM permalink
Enough is enough. IVE HAD IT. For anyone that is not braindead who watches NBA games, knows the NBA is corrupt and the games are completely rigged to keep a big underdog from ever winning a game as much as possible. The only way a big underdog ever wins is if they shoot lights out where the refs cant manipulate the game. Go ahead and watch the games yourself, its like clockwork. I have NO horse in this race. I have NO money in these bets, this is completely an objective observation, so emotion is NOT clouding my mind.

Watch the games yourself. Find a double digit underdog such as the bulls were tonight against the bucks. Bulls were up by 20 at halftime. TWENTY. And they were 14.5 point dogs. So what do i tell myself will happen before the second half even begins? The bulls will get NO CALLS. No FREE THROWS, every 50/50 call will be in favor of the bucks, every time the bucks drive to the hoop there will be whistles, every time the bulls drive, NOTHING. The Bucks will also shoot free throws all 2nd half. And guess what happened? Exactly that. What a coincidence. The bulls didnt get ONE FREE THROW since they were up 23 points up until they were down 8 LOL. Oh thank you so much refs for the free throws now that the spread is in check. Who the hell do they think they're fooling? Maybe they can fool 99.9% of this brainwashed droned out public that have a brain the size of a peanut. This happens every single time a big underdog is blowing a team out. Sports are completely rigged out of their minds. Anyone who disagrees me is doing a huge disservice to society.

The FBI needs to investigate every single sports league, especially the NBA and put every single one of these corrupt immoral drones in federal prison for life and tortured to death. Then maybe the next generation of refs will not sell their souls for a freaking dollar. Im also convinced the players are in on it as well so Ive had enough. The one thing I enjoyed my whole life is officially over. Never watching a game again until the FBI throws every single one of these refs and commissioner in prison. Ive watched sports my whole life thinking it was a random event and now after careful observation, it is confirmed for me. I've had enough with all of the red flags I've seen over the past 3 years. I feel so bad for all of you who think this is a fair random event. Nothing but a bunch of corrupt immoral piece of garbage scum and im trying my hardest right now NOT to go on a cursing profanity spree.

If i was a professional player i swear on my life i would put these refs in the hospital and call every single one of them out in every single press conference. My salary would go to fines every single week buf I could care less as long as the word gets out. Another reason these players are in on it. How can none of them ever call any of these refs out for rigging these games? You only ever hear 'oh these refs with the bad calls, yada yada yada', but none of these players ever come straight out and accuse this league of being corrupt when the most obvious calls are missed time and time again especially when the 'timing' of these calls are happening when an underdog is blowing a team out etc and god forbid they win the big moneyline. Bunch of corruption.

Do you guys seriously need another Tim Donaghy scandal to happen before you realize the whole league is rigged? Why is everyone so reactive in this pathetic society rather than proactive? Oh I know why, because if you think outside the box for one second and say something not 'socially acceptable', you're immediately labeled a 'cook' or a 'conspiracy theorist'. God bless me and my ability to notice corruption, otherwise this world is just a bunch of pathetic brainwashed droned out idiots. Every single one of you that thinks professional sports is fair need to be drug tested. You guys are a complete disgrace to society and why these leagues get away with what theyve been doing for decades.
Last edited by: ZenKinG on Nov 16, 2018
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
Romes
Romes
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November 16th, 2018 at 9:16:07 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG

...The only way a big underdog ever wins is if they shoot lights out where the refs cant manipulate the game. ...

Sounds like a really easy +EV play on the "big favorites" then, huh? Why not just make millions betting WITH the rigging? Hell, that sounds like the lock of the century.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
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November 16th, 2018 at 9:19:07 PM permalink
Quote: Romes

Sounds like a really easy +EV play on the "big favorites" then, huh? Why not just make millions betting WITH the rigging? Hell, that sounds like the lock of the century.



Don't even try to bring up this lock of the century because half the team is injured right from the start of the season as soon as the line comes out. I already nailed the past lock of the century. This whole bet has been thrown off whether they cover it or not i dont care. When half the starting lineup misses half the season, if that's what it takes for me to ever be wrong, then god bless me and my talent. Of course these injuries werent a coincidence and it's either massively rigged or the chicago front office is secretly tanking for zion williamson from duke who is the next lebron.

Also why is it ALWAYS about money? What is wrong with you people seriously? This is the reason this society has gone to complete and utter shit. All of you, including these refs make me sick. I would give back every dollar I ever made just to have no corruption in this world and just to enjoy my life such as watching a sport worry free of corruption or knowing my government has my back and I dont have to look over my shoulder because I know they will follow the Constitution etc. It's like everyone is a complete robot completely blind by paper in their wallets. I got over 51k, a decent car that's paid off and no debt and guess what, I would burn it all tomorrow if I knew it would result in peace in this world and no money corruption or greed without hesitation. But the world is so blind that they literally sell their freaking soul for a dollar. Everyone in this society makes me sick.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
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Thanks for this post from:
RogerKint
November 16th, 2018 at 9:21:24 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG

Don't even try to bring up this lock of the century because half the team is injured right from the start of the season as soon as the line comes out. I already nailed the past lock of the century. This whole bet has been thrown off whether they cover it or not i dont care. When half the starting lineup misses half the season, if that's what it takes for me to ever be wrong, then god bless me and my talent. Of course these injuries werent a coincidence and it's either massively rigged or the chicago front office is secretly tanking for zion williamson from duke who is the next lebron.

I feel like at no point in that response did you respond to my idea. If you KNOW the "favorite" is RIGGED to win against the big underdog, then why not simply bet all of your money on it???
Playing it correctly means you've already won.

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