'So don't throw away a teaser bet if the first game loses, because it will still push if every other pick results in a push. "
I dont think this is stated correctly in the rough draft Wizard. You meant to say if the first game pushes. If the first game loses
the teaser is a loser because u have to win or push on every game.
Id be curious to know how many winning two team 6 point teasers wouldve also been a winner had they been submitted instead as a
two team Parlay at the true point spreads for both teams. I find that almost every time i win a 2 team teaser, i wouldve won it as a parlay also because
the teaser points were not needed to win either game. and of course the parlay wouldve paid much higher odds.
Wizard,on the 3 team teasers your missing the expected return for a 9-5 payoff. What would the return be, by the way.
There a great book but they shade their teasers to hurt the "wongs". For example many books have Denver at -8 and -8 1/2this Sunday but they have them at -9(+105) so if you tease them 6 points you won't get past the three and lay -2 1/2, you would still be laying 3.
So, out of curiosity, what did you have as the real advantage for the Cal Neva teaser? I would think moving from a 5-1 payout to a 7-2 payout pushes the teaser bet back to having a house edge.