Canyonero
Canyonero
Joined: Nov 19, 2012
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June 25th, 2017 at 3:46:57 PM permalink
So most guys on here would agree that -550 on Mayweather is a pretty good deal, right?

I am considering placing a sizeable bet on Mayweather, +EV through the roof...

Odds may continue to improve, Connor bets outnumber Floyd bets 3:2
billryan
billryan
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June 25th, 2017 at 5:07:38 PM permalink
I'd wait. Lots of stupid money being bet on Connor. Odds should drop more.
It's what you do and not what you say If you're not part of the future then get out of the way
Boz
Boz 
Joined: Sep 22, 2011
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June 25th, 2017 at 8:19:33 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I'd wait. Lots of stupid money being bet on Connor. Odds should drop more.



Insane how much money is coming in already on Connor. Will be interesting how much huge money is bet on Floyd late.
billryan
billryan
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June 25th, 2017 at 9:48:34 PM permalink
I imagine Floyd will be betting his entire purse. Wonder if Conner will?
It's what you do and not what you say If you're not part of the future then get out of the way
RogerKint
RogerKint
Joined: Dec 5, 2011
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June 25th, 2017 at 10:17:03 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I imagine Floyd will be betting his entire purse.



On which fighter?

Never made a sports bet but I can't see how the odds are so even at this point. I heard that Vegas books didn't even accept action on Tyson v Douglas and those were two boxers.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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July 26th, 2017 at 3:08:24 AM permalink
from a new york times story today:

“The odds for this fight were first released in November 2016 when it was still just a rumor,” said Joe Osborne, content manager for OddsShark, a sports gambling information site. McGregor started out about 9½-1.The lure of winning $9 or $10 for a dollar bet on McGregor seemed to be much greater than betting a huge amount to win a little on Mayweather. The McGregor money started coming in, and drove down his price, eventually to as low as 3½-1.Dave Mason, a spokesman for the wagering site Betonline.ag, said 89 percent of his book’s bets have been on McGregor.The McGregor bandwagon seems to be driven largely by smaller stakes gamblers. “Due to the odds being so lopsided, you need to bet big to win big on Mayweather,” Bridge said. “So larger wagers are being placed on him. But more individual wagers of smaller amounts have been placed on Notorious.” Mason said he thought the true odds on the fight should be more like 20-1. “I think we’re going to see the sharper bettors come in later,” he said.


7/25 - bovada offers: Mayweather -550; Mcgregor +375. house edge - 6.01% per wizards straight bet calculator.

it's a classic example of many gamblers wrongly believing that a large payout must have "value" and that a small payout cannot have "value."

https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/straight-bet-calculator/


https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/25/sports/conor-mcgregor-floyd-mayweather-jr-fight-odds.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fsports&action=click&contentCollection=sports&region=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=4&pgtype=sectionfront
Last edited by: lilredrooster on Jul 26, 2017
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Romes
Romes 
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Thanks for this post from:
Boz
July 26th, 2017 at 7:21:26 AM permalink
Straight handicapping wise... Mayweather should be -2000 or more. -500, or even now -550, is a steal on Mayweather. If you can find a place that let's you bet $50k to win $10k, like an actual sports book, I'd take that bet all day every day thanks for the free $10k.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
Joined: Jul 3, 2015
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July 26th, 2017 at 8:11:05 AM permalink
Anyone looking to bet on this fight?
Looking for some action on mcg.
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
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July 26th, 2017 at 9:01:43 AM permalink
Welcome all!

Sportsbook of RS is open to all. I am now taking bets on both McGreggor and Mayhweather. Money must be put up on collateral or whatever it's called. The odds* I'm offering are:

MayhWeather: -2000
McGreggor: -2000


Odds may change at any time.
00111100101100001011011100110101101100101011001010010000001101111011100110110001101100001011100100010000001101100011010010110110101100001001000000110111101110011011000110110000101110010
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
Joined: Jul 3, 2015
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Thanks for this post from:
RS
July 26th, 2017 at 9:02:57 AM permalink
Um. Yea..... sounds great
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either

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