Always Dreaming will probably be 4/5 for the Preakness. I might just wait for the Belmont to really take my shot at him.
that's a good thought. a lot of potential triple crown winners have failed to win the belmont stakes. if he wins the preakness he will surely be bet way down and his rivals will be served up at juicy odds. many do not like the extra quarter mile (compared to the longest distance they have ever run before). i don't know what his pedigree says about his stamina. maybe Dead can enlighten us there. he may have to go up against horses who have had more rest and are improving.
All things considered, I don't mind the relatively decent payout for Place on Zhukova, though.
Yes, I read his book carefully and enthusiastically (in spite of the cheesey title) and used the concept to good effect back in the day. Now, at major tracks if isn't unusual for me to see a pattern of money flow something like these proportions of the pools wagered on a favorite...Quote: lilredrooster
I'm sure you know the Dr. Z idea of scoping out the place and show pools to get an outsize payout there. I have not considered it to be very useful except at very small tracks where you can only make a small bet or you shoot yourself in the foot. But it looks like it would have been useful in this race, especially if Zhukova had come in 2nd instead of 1st. Maybe a great deal of place money was on Wake Forest.