Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
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March 20th, 2015 at 6:27:30 PM permalink
Sunday Mar 22,2015 - Sunland Derby G3 (800k - 11/8mile)

1 - Firing Line
2 - Lord Nelson - scratched by trainer.
3 - Where's the Moon
4 - Why Two
5 - Malibu Mogul
6 - Tiznow R J
7 - Pain and Misery
8 - Dirt Monster

-Firing Line is the one to beat, based on his past performances, running mates, and recent works. I guess the distance would be the only question mark for him. Where's the Moon ran great in the prep (Mine That Bird Derby) for this race and Tiznow R J has 2 Derby points (3rd in the Lecomte). Lord Nelson will be pointed towards a stakes race @ Aqueduct (Bayshore) @ 7 furlongs. Could this signal an end of Lord Nelson's Derby trail and 2 turn races?

Edit to add:
Two betting options I am considering: late 50 cent Pick 4 (Callback/ALL/Firing Line/ALL) for $48. Another option: $50 win on Callback, then parlay the win on Firing Line.
coilman
coilman
Joined: Jan 29, 2012
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March 20th, 2015 at 7:20:04 PM permalink
MAY 1 - 3, 2015

Be Our Guest and Receive:
• Two tickets to the Race for the Roses Festivities
• One entry into $50,000 Derby Drawings
• Complimentary accommodations for up to three nights,
May 1 - 3, 2015, at your choice of one Las Vegas Total Rewards® resort:
Planet Hollywood Resort & Casino, The LINQ, Paris, Flamingo, Bally's, Harrah's or Rio

Must be booked by April 29, 2015.
Use Offer Code: Y5KDRC5


nah think I will watch at home and wager online
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
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March 20th, 2015 at 7:30:31 PM permalink
Quote: coilman

MAY 1 - 3, 2015

Be Our Guest and Receive:
• Two tickets to the Race for the Roses Festivities
• One entry into $50,000 Derby Drawings
• Complimentary accommodations for up to three nights,
May 1 - 3, 2015, at your choice of one Las Vegas Total Rewards® resort:
Planet Hollywood Resort & Casino, The LINQ, Paris, Flamingo, Bally's, Harrah's or Rio

Must be booked by April 29, 2015.
Use Offer Code: Y5KDRC5


nah think I will watch at home and wager online


This seems a solid offer considering the big fight is also scheduled that weekend.
DrawingDead
DrawingDead
Joined: Jun 13, 2014
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March 20th, 2015 at 7:59:23 PM permalink
Yeah I see Strip hotels are going for well over $400/night now for that weekend even at the lesser properties, for their publicly quoted rates that don't involve a player rating or special offer. Even some 'ehhh' chain motels eight or ten miles off-Strip are quoting two Benjamins a night. I wonder if people booking them for that know where they are? I thought the rates would settle down; I was way far wrong. This will be the first year in a long time that I don't get a room for this.
"I'm against stuff like crack and math" --AxelWolf
JyBrd0403
JyBrd0403
Joined: Jan 25, 2010
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March 20th, 2015 at 11:28:35 PM permalink
For the Spiral, I like Conquest Typhoon in the rematch. Smith should keep him off the pace here, even if he wanted to go for it, the 9 slot should change his mind, that should give him enough gas to take it. Dubai Sky has 6 works since his last race, looks like they were gearing him up for this. I'm guessing..

1. Conquest Typhoon
2. Metaboss
3. Dubai Sky
4. Magic of Believing

For the Sunland Derby, with Lord Nelson out, the only question is if Firing Line is going to skip to the finish line or if he's going to try to send a message and throw up a big number. I'm guessing

1. Firing Line
2. Where's the Moon
3. Dirt Monster
4. Pain & Misery
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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March 21st, 2015 at 5:48:44 AM permalink
Quote: Keeneone

Sunday Mar 22,2015 - Sunland Derby G3 (800k - 11/8mile)

1 - Firing Line
2 - Lord Nelson - scratched by trainer.
3 - Where's the Moon
4 - Why Two
5 - Malibu Mogul
6 - Tiznow R J
7 - Pain and Misery
8 - Dirt Monster

Edit to add:
Two betting options I am considering: late 50 cent Pick 4 (Callback/ALL/Firing Line/ALL) for $48. Another option: $50 win on Callback, then parlay the win on Firing Line.



Callback is racing??? My Oaks pick! A win here, and that's where she goes next. I'm now excited for Sunday. That's my kind of pick-4. Make it a pick-2. I'll have to look into that.
DrawingDead
DrawingDead
Joined: Jun 13, 2014
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March 21st, 2015 at 8:00:57 AM permalink
Callback can extend Baffert’s Sunland Oaks streak

Quote: DRF - Jay Privman

So rather than have them meet in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Oaks on April 4, Baffert will send Callback to the $200,000 Sunland Park Oaks on Sunday at Sunland Park, while leaving the Santa Anita Oaks for Luminance.


I haven't been keeping up on the filly 3YO division this year, but I gather she still needs Oaks qualifying points, and can get all she needs here. Along with a better than decent check, of course.
"I'm against stuff like crack and math" --AxelWolf
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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  • Posts: 3775
March 21st, 2015 at 9:13:40 AM permalink
Quote: DrawingDead

Callback can extend Baffert’s Sunland Oaks streak


I haven't been keeping up on the filly 3YO division this year, but I gather she still needs Oaks qualifying points, and can get all she needs here. Along with a better than decent check, of course.



Yep. Plum Pretty went from Sunland to Oaks, let's hope Callback can do it as well. A solid $1200 for me if she can.
DrawingDead
DrawingDead
Joined: Jun 13, 2014
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March 21st, 2015 at 10:25:47 PM permalink
That was at least more fun than I generally expect to have in a Cincinnati suburb. For the Spiral I tied up Wireless Future and Dubai Sky in the exacta (4/12), and I think I got every dime's worth of entertainment value out of that little wager at odds of about 75/1.



Dubai Sky does have an excellent pedigree for running on synthetic surfaces. So how much did he take to the kitty litter, or how much by going on Lasix and the two month freshening Mott gave him? Hmmm. I have him at an AWD of 7.2f. He won't be going in my 'win' stable in the futures, but with his new chunk of qualifying points I do hope they put him in the gate for it in May.

And now, at last, let's do this thing, the next two weekends it gets really truly serious. It is time. The clock is about to run out on any incomplete equine development or rehab projects. Time to take a serious step up in a Grade 1 or 2 at 9f with a million dollar carrot on top, or quit dreaming of those silly roses.
"I'm against stuff like crack and math" --AxelWolf
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
  • Threads: 123
  • Posts: 3775
March 22nd, 2015 at 4:02:21 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

Quote: DrawingDead

Callback can extend Baffert’s Sunland Oaks streak


I haven't been keeping up on the filly 3YO division this year, but I gather she still needs Oaks qualifying points, and can get all she needs here. Along with a better than decent check, of course.



Yep. Plum Pretty went from Sunland to Oaks, let's hope Callback can do it as well. A solid $1200 for me if she can.



I need to see the replay, but callback looked great and was placed 4th. Now she might not make the oaks.

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