steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
November 16th, 2014 at 7:08:02 AM permalink
Week 11 Picks:
Arizona Cardinals -1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7
Oakland Raiders 10
St. Louis Rams 9.5
Cincinnati Bengals 7
New York Giants 4
Seattle Seahawks 2
Cleveland Browns -3
Green Bay Packers -6
Tennessee Titans 5.5
Atlanta Falcons -1
Chicago Bears -3
Miami Dolphins -4.5
New England Patriots 3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
texas77
texas77
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Joined: Sep 10, 2014
November 17th, 2014 at 1:01:21 PM permalink
Checking for free picks found this pick for tonight. I actually disagree. I think it will go over, Big Ben will want to redeem himself. Your thoughts?
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
November 18th, 2014 at 4:55:17 AM permalink
Week 11 Results:
Arizona Cardinals W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers W
Oakland Raiders W
St. Louis Rams W
Cincinnati Bengals W
New York Giants L
Seattle Seahawks L
Cleveland Browns L
Green Bay Packers W
Tennessee Titans W
Atlanta Falcons W
Chicago Bears W
Miami Dolphins W
New England Patriots W


YTD:
Total 11-3
Favorites 5-1
Dogs 6-2
Home 6-2
Visitor 5-1
Visiting Favorite 1-0


YTD Total % 57.34%
Favorites 62.12%
Dogs 57.53%
Home 51.28%
Visitor 59.42%
Visiting Favorite 66.67%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
November 23rd, 2014 at 5:32:38 AM permalink
Week 12 Picks:
Jacksonville Jaguars 14
Tennessee Titans 11
Oakland Raiders 7
New York Jets 4.5
Minnesota Vikings 9.5
Cincinnati Bengals 2
Arizona Cardinals 6.5
Washington Redskins 9
New York Giants 3.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5.5
Baltimore Ravens 3.5
Cleveland Browns 3
New England Patriots -7
San Diego Chargers -4.5
Denver Broncos -7
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
November 25th, 2014 at 3:52:34 AM permalink
Week 12 Results:
Jacksonville Jaguars L
Tennessee Titans L
Oakland Raiders W
New York Jets L
Minnesota Vikings W
Cincinnati Bengals W
Arizona Cardinals L
Washington Redskins W
New York Giants W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers L
Baltimore Ravens W
Cleveland Browns W
New England Patriots W
San Diego Chargers L
Denver Broncos L

Total 8-7
Favorites 1-2
Dogs 4-2
Home 7-5
Visitor 4-5
Visiting Favorite 0-0


YTD Total 90-68
Favorites 42-27
Dogs 46-33
Home 47-43
Visitor 45-33
Visiting Favorite 12-6


YTD Total % 56.96%
Favorites 60.87%
Dogs 58.23%
Home 52.22%
Visitor 57.69%
Visiting Favorite 66.67%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
November 30th, 2014 at 6:00:27 AM permalink
Week 13 picks:
Oakland Raiders 7
Cleveland Browns 1.5
Dallas Cowboys -3
Seattle Seahawks 1
Washington Redskins 10
New York Giants -2.5
Cincinnati Bengals -3.5
Tennessee Titans 6.5
San Diego Chargers 4.5
New York Jets 4.5
New England Patriots 3
Chicago Bears 7
Atlanta Falcons 2.5
Carolina Panthers 2.5
New Orleans Saints 3
Denver Broncos -1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 2nd, 2014 at 3:20:24 PM permalink
Week 13 was a lousy week, but the year to date numbers still look great despite that.

Week 13 Results:
Oakland Raiders L
Cleveland Browns L
Dallas Cowboys L
Seattle Seahawks W
Washington Redskins L
New York Giants L
Cincinnati Bengals L
Tennessee Titans L
San Diego Chargers W
New York Jets W
New England Patriots L
Chicago Bears L
Atlanta Falcons W
Carolina Panthers L
New Orleans Saints W
Denver Broncos W


Total 6-10
Favorites 1-3
Dogs 4-9
Home 5-7
Visitor 2-1
Visiting Favorite 0-1


YTD Total 96-78
Favorites 43-30
Dogs 50-42
Home 52-50
Visitor 47-34
Visiting Favorite 12-7


YTD Total 55.17%
Favorites 58.90%
Dogs 54.35%
Home 50.98%
Visitor 58.02%
Visiting Favorite 63.16%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 4th, 2014 at 2:05:59 PM permalink
Week 14 Thursday night pick is:
Dallas Cowboys -3.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 7th, 2014 at 8:13:00 AM permalink
Week 14 Picks:
Oakland Raiders 8
Carolina Panthers 9.5
Atlanta Falcons 12
Seattle Seahawks 1.5
Cleveland Browns 4
Baltimore Ravens 3
New York Jets 6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9.5
Houston Texans -5
San Diego Chargers 3.5
Dallas Cowboys -3.5
Washington Redskins 2.5
Arizona Cardinals -1
Denver Broncos -10
Cincinnati Bengals -3
New York Giants Pick
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 9th, 2014 at 2:32:54 PM permalink
Week 14 Results:
Oakland Raiders W
Carolina Panthers W
Atlanta Falcons W
Seattle Seahawks W
Cleveland Browns W
Baltimore Ravens W
New York Jets p
Tampa Bay Buccaneers L
Houston Texans W
San Diego Chargers L
Dallas Cowboys W
Washington Redskins L
Arizona Cardinals W
Denver Broncos L
Cincinnati Bengals L
New York Giants W


Total 10-5
Favorites 3-2
Dogs 3-4
Home 7-3
Visitor 7-1
Visiting Favorite 2-0


YTD Total 97-73
Favorites 46-32
Dogs 53-46
Home 59-53
Visitor 54-35
Visiting Favorite 14-7


YTD Total 57.06%
Favorites 58.97%
Dogs 53.54%
Home 52.68%
Visitor 60.67%
Visiting Favorite 66.67%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 11th, 2014 at 6:20:19 AM permalink
Week 15's Thursday night pick is:
Arizona +4.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 14th, 2014 at 6:17:56 AM permalink
Week 15 Picks are:
Jacksonville Jaguars 13.5
Oakland Raiders 10
Dallas Cowboys 3.5
San Francisco 49ers 10
Arizona Cardinals 4.5
Houston Texans 6.5
San Diego Chargers 4
Washington Redskins 6.5
Green Bay Packers -5
Cincinnati Bengals 1
Minnesota Vikings 8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3
Atlanta Falcons 2.5
New Orleans Saints -3
Tennessee Titans 1.5
New England Patriots -7.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 18th, 2014 at 6:44:05 AM permalink
Week 15 Results:

Jacksonville Jaguars W
Oakland Raiders L
Dallas Cowboys W
San Francisco 49ers P
Arizona Cardinals W
Houston Texans L
San Diego Chargers L
Washington Redskins L
Green Bay Packers L
Cincinnati Bengals W
Minnesota Vikings W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers W
Atlanta Falcons L
New Orleans Saints W
Tennessee Titans L
New England Patriots W

Total 8-7
Favorites 1-1
Dogs 1-3
Home 7-6
Visitor 6-3
Visiting Favorite 1-1

YTD Total 114-90
Favorites 47-33
Dogs 54-49
Home 66-59
Visitor 60-38
Visiting Favorite 15-8

YTD Total 55.88%
Favorites 58.75%
Dogs 52.43%
Home 52.80%
Visitor 61.22%
Visiting Favorite 65.22%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 21st, 2014 at 6:14:31 AM permalink
Week 16 Picks:
Oakland Raiders 6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10.5
Tennessee Titans 3.5
San Diego Chargers 1
New York Jets 10
Washington Redskins 7.5
Atlanta Falcons 6
Cincinnati Bengals 3.5
Chicago Bears 8
Cleveland Browns 3.5
Arizona Cardinals 8
Minnesota Vikings 6.5
Houston Texans 5.5
New York Giants 5
Dallas Cowboys -3
Pittsburgh Steelers -3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 23rd, 2014 at 4:25:05 AM permalink
Week 16 Results:

Oakland Raiders W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers L
Tennessee Titans L
San Diego Chargers W
New York Jets W
Washington Redskins W
Atlanta Falcons W
Cincinnati Bengals W
Chicago Bears W
Cleveland Browns L
Arizona Cardinals L
Minnesota Vikings W
Houston Texans W
New York Giants W
Dallas Cowboys W
Pittsburgh Steelers W


Total 12-4
Favorites 2-0
Dogs 8-2
Home 10-4
Visitor 4-2
Visiting Favorite 0-0


YTD Total 126-94
Favorites 49-33
Dogs 62-51
Home 76-63
Visitor 64-40
Visiting Favorite 15-8


YTD Total 57.27%
Favorites 59.76%
Dogs 54.87%
Home 54.68%
Visitor 61.54%
Visiting Favorite 65.22%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 23rd, 2014 at 4:26:15 AM permalink
I'm astounded that the algorithm is picking Favorites so well. Not that the other winning %'s are bad..............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
December 28th, 2014 at 7:22:20 AM permalink
Week 17 Picks:
Oakland Raiders 14.5
St. Louis Rams 12.5
Arizona Cardinals 6
Detroit Lions 7.5
Cleveland Browns 10
San Diego Chargers 2.5
New York Jets 5.5
Tennessee Titans 7
Chicago Bears 7
New England Patriots -5
Cincinnati Bengals 3.5
Atlanta Falcons -4
New Orleans Saints -4
New York Giants -2.5
Dallas Cowboys -6.5
Houston Texans -9.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 3rd, 2015 at 5:59:20 AM permalink
Not an ideal way to finish up the year....

Last week's results:
W/L
Oakland Raiders L
St. Louis Rams L
Arizona Cardinals W
Detroit Lions L
Cleveland Browns P
San Diego Chargers L
New York Jets W
Tennessee Titans L
Chicago Bears W
New England Patriots L
Cincinnati Bengals L
Atlanta Falcons L
New Orleans Saints L
New York Giants L
Dallas Cowboys W
Houston Texans L

Total 4-11
Favorites 1-5
Home 0-5
Dogs 3-6
Visitor 4-6
Visiting Favorite 1-1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 3rd, 2015 at 6:09:51 AM permalink
However, it was a successful campaign. Total year numbers are below. Also, the 3 year results. This and the MLB money line picks always leave me wanting the next season to begin immediately.........


YTD Total 130-105 55.32%
Favorites 50-38 56.82%
Dogs 62-56 52.54%
Home 79-69 53.38%
Visitor 68-46 59.65%
Visiting Favorite 16-9 64.00%



2014 2013 2012
YTD Total 55.32% 50.00% 57.23%
Favorites 56.82% 47.95% 55.81%
Dogs 52.54% 57.80% 51.16%
Home 53.38% 52.99% 56.47%
Visitor 59.65% 43.53% 60.56%
Visiting Favorite 64.00% 27.27% 85.71%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
GWAE
GWAE
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Joined: Sep 20, 2013
January 3rd, 2015 at 6:24:14 AM permalink
What win percentage do you need to over come the vig? Lets assume all games are -110.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
steeldco
steeldco
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 3rd, 2015 at 6:39:42 AM permalink
Breakeven would be 52.4%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 3rd, 2015 at 8:17:32 AM permalink
My algorithm has done terribly, in the past, once playoffs start. Nonetheless, a little tweak here and there.........maybe something good happens. BTW, I would NOT advocate using these picks since, again, they have not been shown to be winners.

Playoff Week 1:
Dallas Cowboys -6.5
Pittsburgh Steelers -3
Arizona Cardinals 6.5
Cincinnati Bengals 3.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 10th, 2015 at 6:40:47 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

My algorithm has done terribly, in the past, once playoffs start.



Yep. 0 and 4 last week. So from now on I'll just fade the algorithim's picks. The below are the algorithim's picks turned around. The picks were initially all of the dogs this weekend. Therefore I am taking the favorites.

New England Patriots -7
Seattle Seahawks -11.0
Green Bay Packers -5.5
Denver Broncos -7.0
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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