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steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 9th, 2014 at 4:47:06 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Detroit Pistons W
Brooklyn Nets W
San Antonio Spurs L
Dallas Mavericks W
Oklahoma City Thunder W
Houston Rockets W


Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 5-1
Favorites 3-1
Dogs 2-0
Home 0-0
Away 5-1
Road Fav 3-1
Mr. Random 2-4
Near Lock 3-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 531-543
Favorites 294-284
Dogs 230-248
Home 228-263
Away 302-280
Road Fav 130-108
Mr. Random 548-527
Near Lock 74-61

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.44%
Favorites 50.87%
Dogs 48.12%
Home 46.44%
Away 51.89%
Road Fav 54.62%
Mr. Random 50.98%
Near Lock 54.81%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 9th, 2014 at 1:21:52 PM permalink
Today's Picks:
Brooklyn Nets -5½ W
Philadelphia 76ers +13 W
Cleveland Cavaliers -6½ W
Washington Wizards -5½ L
Boston Celtics +7½ W
Indiana Pacers -2 W
Miami Heat +4½ W
Chicago Bulls -2½ W
Phoenix Suns -6½ L
Houston Rockets -2 L
Sacramento Kings +13 L
Oklahoma City Thunder +3 W
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 10th, 2014 at 3:49:01 PM permalink
Today's Picks:
San Antonio Spurs +2 L
Denver Nuggets +12½ L
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 11th, 2014 at 6:26:32 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
San Antonio Spurs W
Denver Nuggets W


Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 2-0
Favorites 0-0
Dogs 2-0
Home 0-0
Away 2-0
Road Fav 0-0
Mr. Random 0-2
Near Lock 0-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 538-549
Favorites 296-288
Dogs 235-250
Home 229-264
Away 308-285
Road Fav 131-111
Mr. Random 555-533
Near Lock 75-63

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.49%
Favorites 50.68%
Dogs 48.45%
Home 46.45%
Away 51.94%
Road Fav 54.13%
Mr. Random 51.01%
Near Lock 54.35%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 11th, 2014 at 7:59:18 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Washington Wizards -6 L
New York Knicks +5 W
Indiana Pacers +6 W
Atlanta Hawks +5 W
Boston Celtics +5 L
Oklahoma City Thunder -15½ L
Minnesota Timberwolves +2 W
Detroit Pistons +10½ L
Philadelphia 76ers +15 W
San Antonio Spurs -3 L
Cleveland Cavaliers -4½ W
Portland Trailblazers -7½ W
Golden State Warriors -9 W
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 12th, 2014 at 9:01:04 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Washington Wizards W
New York Knicks W
Indiana Pacers L
Atlanta Hawks W
Boston Celtics W
Oklahoma City Thunder W
Minnesota Timberwolves W
Detroit Pistons W
Philadelphia 76ers L
San Antonio Spurs W
Cleveland Cavaliers L
Portland Trailblazers W
Golden State Warriors W


Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 10-3
Favorites 5-1
Dogs 5-2
Home 4-0
Away 6-3
Road Fav 3-1
Mr. Random 5-8
Near Lock 3-1

YTD Total of Picks Made: 548-552
Favorites 301-289
Dogs 240-252
Home 233-264
Away 314-288
Road Fav 134-112
Mr. Random 560-541
Near Lock 78-64

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.82%
Favorites 51.02%
Dogs 48.78%
Home 46.88%
Away 52.16%
Road Fav 54.47%
Mr. Random 50.86%
Near Lock 54.93%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 12th, 2014 at 9:25:33 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Los Angeles Clippers -11 W
Philadelphia 76ers +12 W
Boston Celtics +8 W
Miami Heat -4½ W
New Orleans Pelicans +14½ W
Dallas Mavericks -4½ L
Utah Jazz +9½ L
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 13th, 2014 at 5:33:59 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Los Angeles Clippers W
Philadelphia 76ers W
Boston Celtics W
Miami Heat L
New Orleans Pelicans W
Dallas Mavericks L
Utah Jazz W


Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 5-2
Favorites 1-2
Dogs 4-0
Home 1-1
Away 4-1
Road Fav 0-1
Mr. Random 5-2
Near Lock 2-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 553-554
Favorites 302-291
Dogs 244-252
Home 234-265
Away 318-289
Road Fav 134-113
Mr. Random 565-543
Near Lock 80-64

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.95%
Favorites 50.93%
Dogs 49.19%
Home 46.89%
Away 52.39%
Road Fav 54.25%
Mr. Random 50.99%
Near Lock 55.56%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 13th, 2014 at 5:57:50 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Oklahoma City Thunder +1½ W
Toronto Raptors -6½ L
Orlando Magic +11 L
Chicago Bulls P L
Golden State Warriors +3 W
Minnesota Timberwolves P W
Memphis Grizzlies -12½ L
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 14th, 2014 at 5:20:09 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Oklahoma City Thunder L
Toronto Raptors W
Orlando Magic W
Chicago Bulls L
Golden State Warriors W
Minnesota Timberwolves L
Memphis Grizzlies L


Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 3-4
Favorites 1-1
Dogs 2-1
Home 0-0
Away 3-4
Road Fav 1-1
Mr. Random 3-4
Near Lock 0-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 556-558
Favorites 303-292
Dogs 246-253
Home 234-265
Away 321-293
Road Fav 135-114
Mr. Random 568-547
Near Lock 80-64

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.91%
Favorites 50.92%
Dogs 49.30%
Home 46.89%
Away 52.28%
Road Fav 54.22%
Mr. Random 50.94%
Near Lock 55.56%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 14th, 2014 at 10:47:31 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Boston Celtics -2½ W
Miami Heat +5½ L
Milwaukee Bucks +11 W
Charlotte Bobcats -5 W
Oklahoma City Thunder -7½ W
San Antonio Spurs +5 W
Orlando Magic +11½ L
Los Angeles Lakers +6 W
Phoenix Suns -3 L
Minnesota Timberwolves +7½ W
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
endermike
endermike
  • Threads: 7
  • Posts: 584
Joined: Dec 10, 2013
April 14th, 2014 at 10:58:14 AM permalink
Darn. I was hoping yesterday would be the day you get over 50%. Oh well. 50% isn't the profit line, but it is a nice psychological bump (like cutting a lead to single digits). Maybe today. Either way, a nice run to close the season. You still have a few days to get over the hump, I hope you make it.

Have you kept tweaking your model though the season (particularly in the last month)?
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 14th, 2014 at 11:25:09 AM permalink
Thanks endermike!

My last tweak was a few weeks ago where I decided to add a metric that would signal a change in the algorithm that is dependent on a team's moving average in several categories.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 15th, 2014 at 3:34:59 PM permalink
Today's Picks:
New York Knicks +6 L
Denver Nuggets +9½ L
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 16th, 2014 at 5:42:00 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
New York Knicks W
Denver Nuggets W


Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 2-0
Favorites 0-0
Dogs 2-0
Home 0-0
Away 2-0
Road Fav 0-0
Mr. Random 0-2
Near Lock 0-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 560-566
Favorites 303-296
Dogs 250-257
Home 234-266
Away 325-300
Road Fav 135-117
Mr. Random 573-554
Near Lock 81-67

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.73%
Favorites 50.58%
Dogs 49.31%
Home 46.80%
Away 52.00%
Road Fav 53.57%
Mr. Random 50.84%
Near Lock 54.73%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 16th, 2014 at 2:36:46 PM permalink
Today's Picks:
Chicago Bulls +1½ W
Indiana Pacers +3½ L
Memphis Grizzlies -3½ L
Atlanta Hawks +3½ W
Toronto Raptors -5 W
Utah Jazz +11 W
Houston Rockets +3½ L
Oklahoma City Thunder -14 W
San Antonio Spurs -9 W
Washington Wizards -7½ W
Brooklyn Nets +7½ W
Philadelphia 76ers +5½ L
Phoenix Suns -2½ W
Golden State Warriors +8½ L
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 19th, 2014 at 5:58:12 AM permalink
April 16th. Results:
Chicago Bulls L
Indiana Pacers W
Memphis Grizzlies L
Atlanta Hawks W
Toronto Raptors L
Utah Jazz W
Houston Rockets L
Oklahoma City Thunder L
San Antonio Spurs L
Washington Wizards W
Brooklyn Nets L
Philadelphia 76ers W
Phoenix Suns W
Golden State Warriors W

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 7-7
Favorites 2-4
Dogs 5-3
Home 0-3
Away 7-4
Road Fav 2-1
Mr. Random 6-8
Near Lock 3-3

YTD Total of Picks Made: 567-573
Favorites 305-300
Dogs 255-260
Home 234-269
Away 332-304
Road Fav 137-118
Mr. Random 579-562
Near Lock 84-70

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.74%
Favorites 50.41%
Dogs 49.51%
Home 46.52%
Away 52.20%
Road Fav 53.73%
Mr. Random 50.74%
Near Lock 54.55%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 19th, 2014 at 6:09:41 AM permalink
It truly sucks when the algo picks all of the favorites.....however, this is the National Wrestling Association, um, er, the National Basketball Association, so anything can happen.

Toronto Raptors -3 W
Los Angeles Clippers -7 W
Indiana Pacers -7½ W
Oklahoma City Thunder -7½ L
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 19th, 2014 at 6:17:27 AM permalink
OK. Here's my annual rant.....
The NBA is the worst of the major sports just by the virtue of the fact that, with so few players and the league's need to create stars, the games are manipulated. The league needs to make major changes in the officiating or it will eventually die. The officials and the league decide who will play well and who will win. Eventually the populace will realize it.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 19th, 2014 at 6:19:09 AM permalink
Oh yea, check out the MLB Picks thread. Crushing it there.....so far. At least the games are fair, although the calling of balls and strikes needs to get automated and consistent.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 20th, 2014 at 6:13:39 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 1-3
Favorites 1-3
Dogs 0-0
Home 1-3
Away 0-0
Road Fav 0-0
Mr. Random 0-4
Near Lock 0-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 568-576
Favorites 306-303
Dogs 255-260
Home 235-272
Away 332-304
Road Fav 137-118
Mr. Random 579-566
Near Lock 84-70

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.65%
Favorites 50.25%
Dogs 49.51%
Home 46.35%
Away 52.20%
Road Fav 53.73%
Mr. Random 50.57%
Near Lock 54.55%

Today's Picks (misery is having your methodology end up picking all the favorites...........):
San Antonio Spurs -9½ W
Miami Heat -9½ L
Chicago Bulls -4½ W
Houston Rockets -5½ W
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 21st, 2014 at 8:28:28 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
San Antonio Spurs L
Miami Heat W
Chicago Bulls L
Houston Rockets L

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 1-3
Favorites 1-3
Dogs 0-0
Home 1-3
Away 0-0
Road Fav 0-0
Mr. Random 2-2
Near Lock 0-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 569-579
Favorites 307-306
Dogs 255-260
Home 236-275
Away 332-304
Road Fav 137-118
Mr. Random 581-568
Near Lock 84-70

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49.56%
Favorites 50.08%
Dogs 49.51%
Home 46.18%
Away 52.20%
Road Fav 53.73%
Mr. Random 50.57%
Near Lock 54.55%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
April 21st, 2014 at 8:43:11 AM permalink
I have used Yahoo stats to update my various tables. As of this morning, I do not see where they have updated their stats to reflect the just completed playoff games. Rather than to try to obtain that data from elsewhere and spend a lot of time directing my tables to a new site, I am just going to call it a year. Not a great one, but I feel that I learned a couple of things that should help next year. In the meantime, the MLB picks are doing awfully well. Hopefully I can get the NBA picks next year to work as well. And YES...... I wish that the NBA wasn't so controlled by the league and officials. Many games have left a bad taste....
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 18th, 2014 at 9:45:06 AM permalink
With MLB being as successful as it is so far this year, I thought that I would try to use the same methodology in picking games, using the money line, here on the NBA. So the first pick is the Indiana Pacers +120 for today.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 18th, 2014 at 9:47:33 AM permalink
I see that there is also a line for tomorrow. The pick for tomorrow would be Oklahoma City +190.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 18th, 2014 at 4:51:35 PM permalink
Good start. We're now +120, playing the money line, with the Pacers winning today.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 20th, 2014 at 3:45:26 AM permalink
OK. I've split the first 2. I am up +20.
Pacers W +120
Thunder L -100

Today's pick would be the Pacers again. +120
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 21st, 2014 at 5:41:40 AM permalink
Playoff M/L Results:
Pacers W +120
Thunder L -100
Pacers -100

Today's Picks:
Oklahoma City +220
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 22nd, 2014 at 4:58:40 AM permalink
Wow. San Antonio is lookin' like a steamroller.

Playoff M/L Results:
Pacers W +120
Thunder L -100
Pacers -100
Thunder L -100
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 24th, 2014 at 9:20:18 AM permalink
This is seemingly getting monotonous, which would be fine if it were picking winners. Behind the 8 ball a bit, but we'll see if the algorithm can cure that.
Today's pick is the Pacers +250.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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