Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
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July 18th, 2021 at 4:42:27 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Yes you did and yes you can.




When one stands up for their righteous cause, it always counts. Did you defend yourself or did you have help? You do not have to answer. What is important is that you took a stand. Appeals can be expensive and extremely time consuming and sometimes stressful.



Myself, the fine I was trying to avoid would have been nullified (and more) by attorney costs had I won. Not appealing was kind of a probability decision based on known expense of doing so, assumed time involved and what I perceived as my probability of winning on appeal.

Iím probably overestimating my probability of winning on appeal. Iím an eternal optimist, if you couldnít tell. /sarcasm


Quote:

Yes it is.


I read; I ask questions: I get feedback; I learn. In the next paragraph, you talk of your "expectation" of "winning" and "playing with an advantage." So enlighten me, what game or venue and what particular play gives you that "advantage."? Does that "advantage" produce "winning" at a rate that exceeds 60%? You see. I read. I ask questions. Hopefully, I will get feedback. I will learn.

tuttigym



Iíve written about a good many plays which are too numerous to list here, and those are just the ones Iíve written about.

Without even getting into non-US regulated casinos, there are US regulated ones that offer new member promos (online) in which the playthrough is so low, combined with the games available/allowed on some, that itís all but impossible to lose if you bet conservatively.

PA Skill Games are such that you can literally win 100% of the time, if you choose, because you know the next result in advance on many of them. Sometimes itís a Free Games or some other bonus, so you donít always know exactly how much you will win, but even those are profitable 100% of the time.

As far as other games with 60%+ profit probability, sure, I could probably name tenÖbut youíll get so few plays only looking for plays with that high a profit probability rate that the actual profits wouldnít justify the time spent looking for them.

But, if the goal is to never loseÖnever making a bet also guarantees that you wonít.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
tuttigym
tuttigym
Joined: Feb 12, 2010
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Mission146
July 18th, 2021 at 5:19:21 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Myself, the fine I was trying to avoid would have been nullified (and more) by attorney costs had I won. Not appealing was kind of a probability decision based on known expense of doing so, assumed time involved and what I perceived as my probability of winning on appeal.


Very smart.

Quote: Mission146

Iíve written about a good many plays which are too numerous to list here, and those are just the ones Iíve written about.


Could you direct me to one of your articles?

Quote: Mission146

Without even getting into non-US regulated casinos, there are US regulated ones that offer new member promos (online) in which the playthrough is so low, combined with the games available/allowed on some, that itís all but impossible to lose if you bet conservatively.

PA Skill Games are such that you can literally win 100% of the time, if you choose, because you know the next result in advance on many of them. Sometimes itís a Free Games or some other bonus, so you donít always know exactly how much you will win, but even those are profitable 100% of the time.

As far as other games with 60%+ profit probability, sure, I could probably name tenÖbut youíll get so few plays only looking for plays with that high a profit probability rate that the actual profits wouldnít justify the time spent looking for them.


I am unfamiliar with online games, and I don't trust them. That might be unreasonable but it comes from an uneducated sense that the internet can rig or infiltrate anything. PA Skill Games? What are they and where can they be found?

Quote: Mission146

But, if the goal is to never loseÖnever making a bet also guarantees that you wonít.


Yes, indeed!!

tuttigym
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
  • Threads: 132
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July 18th, 2021 at 5:40:38 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Very smart.


Could you direct me to one of your articles?


I am unfamiliar with online games, and I don't trust them. That might be unreasonable but it comes from an uneducated sense that the internet can rig or infiltrate anything. PA Skill Games? What are they and where can they be found?


Yes, indeed!!

tuttigym



Sure, the articles are just in the articles tab. Or, you could search, ďMission146 Just Donít Lose,Ē for the most common skill game that Iím talking about.

The internet probably can rig or infiltrate anything, but there are play logs for these. BetRivers.com, deposit $250 and get a $250 deposit match, Video Poker is allowed with a 1x playthrough requirement and you can bet as little as $0.10/hand. Thatís one of a few similar in concept.

Effectively, youíd have to run worse than 50% over 5,000 hands to lose money. Thatís essentially not possible.

Itís online, so you could use the hand analyzer on WizardofOdds, or just print off basic strategy for a game. If youíre really concerned, then basic is good and maybe not being computer-perfect in case they looked into your playó-which I seriously doubt.

PA Skill Games are just certain machines in Pennsylvania that have not technically been made illegal, yet. Virginia had some of the same games, but now those are illegal and Georgia has some of the sameówhich are expressly legal.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
tuttigym
tuttigym
Joined: Feb 12, 2010
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Mission146
July 19th, 2021 at 5:48:46 AM permalink
Okay, Thanks. I will look at the articles and look into BetRivers. You offer mental challenges for me, so I will continue to engage. Your self-described "arrogance" will not deter as I can "push-back" when my intellect allows me.

tuttigym
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
  • Threads: 132
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July 19th, 2021 at 6:01:37 AM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Okay, Thanks. I will look at the articles and look into BetRivers. You offer mental challenges for me, so I will continue to engage. Your self-described "arrogance" will not deter as I can "push-back" when my intellect allows me.

tuttigym



That all sounds fine. To be clear, I have decided to only write about absolute layups (on this site) in the future, unless I am specifically asked by the sites to analyze a particular game or promotion.

Consequently, I will only express opinions, in articles, (unless directly asked to do otherwise) about plays that I have done myself and that are total layups. In general, any opinions expressed about plays (in posts) that I have not personally done will also include my saying that I haven't done them, have done them in the past but no longer do or that they are not total layups.

As a result, you'll find that I decline to recommend very many plays.

It has nothing to do with you. There are simply too many people who are not satisfied to accept math and will challenge mathematical facts groundlessly, and those people are not worth trying to help in their gambling endeavors. If they don't believe the math, then they are destined to do nothing but forever lose anyway---unless, and what would be a better choice for them---they do not gamble at all.

I MIGHT choose to PM you game analyses that I may or may not write for our other sites in the future, if you are interested. I will only do this if you directly request, in a public post, that I do so if I remember to do it. Please note that any such articles might represent plays that are not complete layups and come with the possibility of losing money.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
tuttigym
tuttigym
Joined: Feb 12, 2010
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Mission146
July 20th, 2021 at 10:13:25 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

I MIGHT choose to PM you game analyses that I may or may not write for our other sites in the future, if you are interested. I will only do this if you directly request, in a public post, that I do so if I remember to do it. Please note that any such articles might represent plays that are not complete layups and come with the possibility of losing money.


How does one use PM? Is there a tab or something easy that provides that process?

tuttigym
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
  • Threads: 132
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tuttigym
July 20th, 2021 at 10:18:50 AM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

How does one use PM? Is there a tab or something easy that provides that process?

tuttigym



Envelope, top right of the screen.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219

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