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moses
moses
Joined: Sep 23, 2013
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July 16th, 2021 at 7:47:36 PM permalink
It doesnt matter to me. Covid made me civilized. I no longer have that eye of the tiger to learn another way to play the game.
I will do what I do for the pennies I "work" to get here.

$2 mil in 10 years sounds great. Breaking even or losing sounds horrible. I always thought I had one more good run in me. But maybe not.
moses
moses
Joined: Sep 23, 2013
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July 17th, 2021 at 7:06:40 AM permalink
Heads up the average number of dealer cards per round is 2.78.
Average player cards is 2.71
Combined = 5.49

8 deck shoe with 1 deck cutoff = 364 cards played
364/5.49 = 66 rounds heads up

There are MANY MANY MANY places on the LV strip where a $450 bet stays under the radar. You may not comprehend this because you know xxxx all about counting and blackjack, but I assure you it's true. Stay under purple = A-OK.

So a 20k losing shoe at $450 bets is losing 44 units in 66 rounds.

There are some questionable facts in your statement.

In single deck, 12 small cards would have to come out before just 1 large card to warrant a max bet. THAT has never happened. So in 8 decks, 96 would be the equivelant. Thus how did you get 66 max bets out of one shoe?

You lost $20k in 44 hands at $450 per hand (19,800). What happened to the other 22 rounds? Did you push? If so, 20k means you went 0-44 on large bets in the shoe. In spite of all the cuss words. Hard to believe? Most definately.
moses
moses
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July 17th, 2021 at 8:59:00 AM permalink
The attempt to discredit KJ.
Quote from Kewlj Jan. 15 2018 :

was actually a very credible post by KJ IMO.

I see more volatility than necessary. Drop the 2. Count the 5 as 2. This move does not affect your cancel out process. Which is far better than anything I read at BJTF in a recent thread.

The one litle move will identify a deck composition rich in 10,A but also more depletion of 5's. Counting the 2 the same as 5 creates too many high TC's with poor deck compositions.

The rotation of casinos speaks to quality hands without giving up too much in quantity. So the question of your credibility comes into play. You cant answer without exposing yourself.

There is always, always, always a reason to sit down to play and get up a leave. My guess is KJ has this mastered and down to a science.

Problem is it leaves a newbie and his adversaries hanging.

As Mission 146/Sony and Cher put it. The beat goes on. goes on and on and on.
Last edited by: moses on Jul 17, 2021
moses
moses
Joined: Sep 23, 2013
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July 17th, 2021 at 10:07:06 AM permalink
Let's DO the math as they say.

KJ has had one $20k shoe in 10 years. He plays 225 days annually average. So this happened once in 2,225 days of playing in a casino.

Wait. He rotates 6 casinos per day. So this shoe was once in 13,350 casinos.

Wait. He plays 2 shoes on average per casino. That is one shoe in 26,700. 😲

Forum rhetoric or irrelevant chatter? Take your pick.
moses
moses
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July 17th, 2021 at 10:57:14 AM permalink
So for the Sally Struthers "save our newbie" foundation. Wont you please play and pay the KJ way?. Here is what it's going to take.

You will need to average $400 to $500 in profits per day to reach 100k annually. For every $2k lost day, you will need no make $2800 to $3,000. Between 200 and 250 days with a spread of $25 to $300.

...before I list my house. It would have to be double these figures each year, for the next 10 straight years, to make it worth my while.

However, legions of AP's are already doing this and more.🤔
In Vegas. No?
moses
moses
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July 17th, 2021 at 2:58:47 PM permalink
Im only going based on numbers qouted in that thread. Officiating, if you will. I haven't taken anyones side.

Whether it's 1 deck, 6 decks, or 22 decks. The income remains the same.

Now Takwonda or whatever invited anyone to speak to thread. Since that is not a blackjack forun, most cannot speak to it.

KJ didnt say he makes $100k a year in this thread. I said if that is what someone wants to make that is what they will have to do. Actually Im defending him. Certainly more than his Supremes. The purpose is resolution once and for all. This has gone on for at least 8 years on how many forums?
billryan
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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Mission146
July 17th, 2021 at 3:42:05 PM permalink
Is there another side of a conversation that isn't showing up here?
moses
moses
Joined: Sep 23, 2013
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Mission146
July 17th, 2021 at 4:54:20 PM permalink
Same monkee. Same football. Same result as a kazillion times before.
moses
moses
Joined: Sep 23, 2013
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Mission146
July 17th, 2021 at 5:57:03 PM permalink
Redietz. Im right here. Firstly, all Ive done is speak to the numbers listed in that thread. Simple multiplecation or division.

The guy says he lost 44 max at $450 out of 66 in an 8 deck shoe. 44x$450 = $19,800. So Im wondering what happened to the other 22 hands. How did he get to a max bet so quickly? Did he go 0-44? 1-45? 10-54?

In one post KJ says his spread is $25 to $300. Later he says it's $25 to $500. A 1 to 20 spread is bound to get some heat. No? Which is it?

Now if it's my credibilty you want to attack. Im right here. Not hiding from anyone. If it's my blackjack playing ability. Come on up and you be the house.
Last edited by: moses on Jul 17, 2021
Hunterhill
Hunterhill
Joined: Aug 1, 2011
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Mission146
July 17th, 2021 at 6:28:06 PM permalink
Quote: moses

Heads up the average number of dealer cards per round is 2.78.
Average player cards is 2.71
Combined = 5.49


In single deck, 12 small cards would have to come out before just 1 large card to warrant a max bet.


Moses, I donít know if you are saying this or if you are quoting someone.
But you need 12 small cards versus 1 big card for a max bet on single deck? That canít be right
The mountain is tall but grass grows on top of the mountain.

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