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Minty
Minty
Joined: Jan 23, 2015
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September 1st, 2020 at 11:54:34 AM permalink
If your claim is that you're able to accurately predict cards I don't really believe it. If it's that you're being cheated in some way I'm still suspect. The former has been claimed by many people and sounds like superstition and the latter is just unlikely.
"Just because I'm not doing anything illegal, doesn't mean I won't have to defend myself someday." -Chip Reese
jjjoooggg
jjjoooggg
Joined: Jul 13, 2012
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September 1st, 2020 at 1:27:00 PM permalink
Quote: heatmap

Ok I am no longer considering this as something that is out of the ordinary. I am considering it something that is deliberate, or a bi-product of the shuffle machines.

The other day I decided to go to wind creek bethlehem. I am alone at my own table, 15 dollar minimum, and im not doing too bad. I was almost out of money before i got a split with a double and won my money back plus a little bit.

First thing, and yeah yeah i know youve heard it so many times most likely, but before you go to the normal responses, i think its time to revisit this subject.

The subject im referring to is adding a player to the game. Adding a player to the game of blackjack, within PA casinos, or possibly because of the way the shufflers shuffle the cards, a blackjack appears on the table. Mostly IMO for the dealer.

Heres the rest of the story.

So i win most of my money back, and this guy is hovering behind me, an older gentleman, who is courteous enough to wait and sit down after a few of my hands. I am also a believer that adding a person screws my winning up but thats another story for another day as to why I think it happens - which it did i lost when he started playing but then...

After he sat down, just to cover my bases, I said to him " i know this is a bunch of bullish but i say it to most people that usually when someone sits at these tables in between a shoe, the dealer gets blackjack. And i know its bullish because if its random this wont happen at all."

well wouldnt you know the dealer gets a blackjack

WHY DOES THIS HAPPEN??????



It is called variance.
I belong to an elite group called the "Zombie Outbreak Response Team."
heatmap
heatmap
Joined: Feb 12, 2018
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September 1st, 2020 at 6:35:09 PM permalink
Quote: Minty

If your claim is that you're able to accurately predict cards I don't really believe it. If it's that you're being cheated in some way I'm still suspect. The former has been claimed by many people and sounds like superstition and the latter is just unlikely.



well i am not claiming cheating, nor am i claiming to accurately predict cards, just that i can predict a significant amount within an 8 deck shoe, or we can sit and watch the stadium blackjack and i can go for an amount of cards within a period of time.
Minty
Minty
Joined: Jan 23, 2015
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September 1st, 2020 at 6:58:48 PM permalink
Isn't the only logical thing to do then bet max when you are predicting good stuff and next to nothing when you're predicting something bad?
"Just because I'm not doing anything illegal, doesn't mean I won't have to defend myself someday." -Chip Reese
heatmap
heatmap
Joined: Feb 12, 2018
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September 2nd, 2020 at 4:42:40 AM permalink
Quote: Minty

Isn't the only logical thing to do then bet max when you are predicting good stuff and next to nothing when you're predicting something bad?



No I have never ever said I was predicting good or bad.

I知 saying, I see some cards come out, and I can - at least I seriously think I can - predict the next card or total of the next N cards.

Sometimes I say a number and the total of those cards is the number I say.

Sometimes I知 one too late.

Sometimes I知 wrong.

I should be wrong most of the time... but I want to possibly confirm with others if I am just crazy or have something.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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September 2nd, 2020 at 5:09:22 AM permalink
Quote: heatmap

No I have never ever said I was predicting good or bad.

I知 saying, I see some cards come out, and I can - at least I seriously think I can - predict the next card or total of the next N cards.

Sometimes I say a number and the total of those cards is the number I say.

Sometimes I知 one too late.

Sometimes I知 wrong.

I should be wrong most of the time... but I want to possibly confirm with others if I am just crazy or have something.



I'll be polite. What you are experiencing is called confirmation bias. If you say.... the next card will be a face card, and it is, you make a note of it that you are great at predicting cards. 4/13 times you fool yourself into thinking you have some special ability. 9/13 times you are wrong, but it just doesn't register as an event worth remembering.

I do it while watching golf. If I watch a guy line up an 8 foot putt, a pro will make it 50% of the time, miss left 25%, miss right 25%. I'll say to myself...looks like he's aiming too far left, and if he misses left, I think I actually saw something that is a skill I have. If he drains the putt, or misses right, I don't think much of it.

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