Strategy for Baccarat Tournament?

I like the Broncos a lot. #1 Defense in the red zone last 2 years. Get Von Miller back. Improved at quaterback. Corner back. Receivers, running backs. Special teams a big ? !

Quote: MDawg

Well, as REDietz is fond of saying (about table games), "I know next to nothing."

As I will have to say, "I know next to nothing" (about sports betting).

link to original post

A few thoughts:

1) This promotion does not let you, but just for general awareness, the best EV for promo chips/bets where you don’t keep the bet, just the winnings, is on long shots. So the biggest underdog ML if they let you.

2) Axel’s point is valid that you could but the promo bet on Packers -3.5 and place a cash bet on Saints +3.5 and lock up a guaranteed amount of money. Boring.

3) Is your bet on the current lines at the book or the lines on that piece of paper? If latter, then just go to the sports book on Sunday and place the promo bet on whichever current line deviates the most from the paper line you were offered. For example if the current line tomorrow is Packers minus -4.5 and you can bet the -3.5 line, that’s EV. Note that there’s a Wizard page to help estimate how much EV depending on whether key numbers like 3, 4 and 7 are crossed.

4) Bet the game you are attending for whomever you want to root for. The promo bet will juice the rooting creating psychological EV.

5) Bet under 41.5 in the Giants/Broncos game.

Quote: MDawg

Well, as REDietz is fond of saying (about table games), "I know next to nothing."

As I will have to say, "I know next to nothing" (about sports betting).

link to original post

Winners don't have to know everything MDawg.

Winners don't know everything MDawg!

Oh yeah, I forgot, how come the cage cashiers must ask. "Sorry sir, before I am able to cash those chips you have to tell me how you were able to win them".

And also, oh never mind, that's enough.

Quote: MDawg

Well, as REDietz is fond of saying (about table games), "I know next to nothing."

As I will have to say, "I know next to nothing" (about sports betting).

link to original post

For pro sports betting you don’t need to know anything. The lines are nearly dead on accurate…you will win 50% of -110 bets over the long term

There are some very small imbalances, like betting NFL dogs, but you probably need to bet thousands of games before realizing that effect

Quote: unJon

Quote: MDawg

Well, as REDietz is fond of saying (about table games), "I know next to nothing."

As I will have to say, "I know next to nothing" (about sports betting).

link to original post

A few thoughts:

1) This promotion does not let you, but just for general awareness, the best EV for promo chips/bets where you don’t keep the bet, just the winnings, is on long shots. So the biggest underdog ML if they let you.

2) Axel’s point is valid that you could but the promo bet on Packers -3.5 and place a cash bet on Saints +3.5 and lock up a guaranteed amount of money. Boring.

3) Is your bet on the current lines at the book or the lines on that piece of paper? If latter, then just go to the sports book on Sunday and place the promo bet on whichever current line deviates the most from the paper line you were offered. For example if the current line tomorrow is Packers minus -4.5 and you can bet the -3.5 line, that’s EV. Note that there’s a Wizard page to help estimate how much EV depending on whether key numbers like 3, 4 and 7 are crossed.

4) Bet the game you are attending for whomever you want to root for. The promo bet will juice the rooting creating psychological EV.

5) Bet under 41.5 in the Giants/Broncos game.

link to original post

5) You like that better than straight win for Green Bay?

4) Is a good point.

3) These were the lines as of this morning. Might be different by tomorrow.

I didn't even advance in the BlackJack tournament. I lost every hand in a row until I was blown out. I lost hands where others won. 😄 I should have been flat bet minimum betting, might have given me a chance to advance.

But in the big Baccarat tournament I did advance, will continue tomorrow.

Quote: Marcusclark66

Quote: MDawg

Well, as REDietz is fond of saying (about table games), "I know next to nothing."

As I will have to say, "I know next to nothing" (about sports betting).

link to original post

Winners don't have to know everything MDawg.

Winners don't know everything MDawg!

Oh yeah, I forgot, how come the cage cashiers must ask. "Sorry sir, before I am able to cash those chips you have to tell me how you were able to win them".

And also, oh never mind, that's enough.

link to original post

You bring nonsense into a thread that actually has some merit and members can help guide him.

Duplicate.

Quote: MDawg

Quote: unJon

Quote: MDawg

Well, as REDietz is fond of saying (about table games), "I know next to nothing."

As I will have to say, "I know next to nothing" (about sports betting).

link to original post

A few thoughts:

1) This promotion does not let you, but just for general awareness, the best EV for promo chips/bets where you don’t keep the bet, just the winnings, is on long shots. So the biggest underdog ML if they let you.

2) Axel’s point is valid that you could but the promo bet on Packers -3.5 and place a cash bet on Saints +3.5 and lock up a guaranteed amount of money. Boring.

3) Is your bet on the current lines at the book or the lines on that piece of paper? If latter, then just go to the sports book on Sunday and place the promo bet on whichever current line deviates the most from the paper line you were offered. For example if the current line tomorrow is Packers minus -4.5 and you can bet the -3.5 line, that’s EV. Note that there’s a Wizard page to help estimate how much EV depending on whether key numbers like 3, 4 and 7 are crossed.

4) Bet the game you are attending for whomever you want to root for. The promo bet will juice the rooting creating psychological EV.

5) Bet under 41.5 in the Giants/Broncos game.

link to original post

5) You like that better than straight win for Green Bay?

4) Is a good point.

3) These were the lines as of this morning. Might be different by tomorrow.

link to original post

5) I do personally. But I don’t claim to be a winning NFL bettor so take it with a big grain of salt.

I understand. What you all are getting at, which makes perfect sense, is that since it a freeroll bet to just go with what might make some actual money versus a pittance.

Not necessarily that one bet might win versus another, but that might as well try to get something out of this.

AxelWolf''s idea is good too, in a different way.