100 Hand Streaks

Part 1:Playing basic BJ strategy with 6 decks what is the probability of winning:
2 hands in a row
3 hands in a row
4 hands in a row
5 hands in a row
6 hands in a row

Part 2: What is the difference in probability for each of each of those streaks occuring per 100 hands played?

Assume 6 decks
No surrender - if possible what is the difference with surrender?
Up to 4 splits
Aces one split and one card per ace
Dealer hits soft 17

Thank you for the math guidance!

Karl

Blocked.
Thank the guys who live under the bridge.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/other-games/25803-streaks-in-baccarat/#post532559

Quote: karlnw21

Thank you for the math guidance!

Karl

Need more info..... Does a push count for anything?

If you split does the first hand played count before the second hand?

Do double downs count as two hands?

Does a blackjack win count as 1 1/2 wins?

And of course..... why would you possibly care about the answer, anyway?

Quote: karlnw21

Part 1:Playing basic BJ strategy with 6 decks what is the probability of winning:
2 hands in a row
3 hands in a row
4 hands in a row
5 hands in a row
6 hands in a row

Part 2: What is the difference in probability for each of each of those streaks occuring per 100 hands played?

Assume 6 decks
No surrender - if possible what is the difference with surrender?
Up to 4 splits
Aces one split and one card per ace
Dealer hits soft 17

Thank you for the math guidance!

Karl

you're asking for quite a bit of analysis for free

it sounds like you are planning a Martingale strategy

I suggest betting more when you are winning instead of betting more when you are losing. It's a lot more fun.

ignore pushes as the bet would remain until lost
splits would be considered one hand -however would have to win both(all) bets to be considered a win
double down is one hand
black jack is one hand -not considering odds with money only the streak

And finally just a geek wth a spread sheet trying to set up a mote carlo analysis but need to quantify probabilitities before capturing random outcomes based on those probabilities. Thank you for the help.

Karl

ignore pushes as the bet would remain until lost
splits would be considered one hand -however would have to win both(all) bets to be considered a win
double down is one hand
black jack is one hand -not considering odds with money only the streak

And finally just a geek wth a spread sheet trying to set up a mote carlo analysis but need to quantify probabilitities before capturing random outcomes based on those probabilities. Thank you for the help.

Karl

Quote: odiousgambit

you're asking for quite a bit of analysis for free

not really
this has been done before
even eye have data for this

simulations need parameters
and the OP just gave some

some seem weird

Quote: odiousgambit

it sounds like you are planning a Martingale strategy

yahoo!!

Quote: odiousgambit

I suggest betting more when you are winning instead of betting more when you are losing. It's a lot more fun.

what kind of winning?
in a row
a streak?
a run of winning!

Quote: karlnw21

ignore pushes as the bet would remain until lost

sounds fun

Quote: karlnw21

splits would be considered one hand -however would have to win both(all) bets to be considered a win

this is the weird one

so say
you you
you
win the 1st but push the 2nd (split)
or
you push the 1st and win the 2nd

you want that to break a win streak?
that seems weird to me

even this too
you split to play 3 hands (8,8,8)

you win 2 and push the 3rd
that also breaks the current win streak??

that is ugly!

and if this is about winning hands
in a row
should you not
play
play
a different BJ-BS
to MAX your hand win probability?

I wood think soo

cuz
some hands have a better EV but a lower winning probability
and that right there will break a winning streak just for better ev
no good
<<< >>>
it seems you are after the best winning probability to hit the best win streaks

easily simulated too
you may have already done just that

Sally