pictureman
pictureman
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December 25th, 2013 at 10:05:13 AM permalink
I was playing 3 card poker with only one other player at the table. We both had a flush of hearts as well as the dealer. Does anyone know the odds of this happening? The first 9 cards out the deck were all hearts.
JB
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JB
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December 25th, 2013 at 10:07:32 AM permalink
For Hearts specifically (or any other specific suit): 1 in 5,145,560
For any suit (as long as they're all the same suit): 1 in 1,286,390
DJTeddyBear
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December 25th, 2013 at 11:07:00 AM permalink
While JB's answer is mathematically correct, there is another answer:

Shit happens.
I invented a few casino games. Info: http://www.DaveMillerGaming.com/ ————————————————————————————————————— Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood? 😁
rainy
rainy
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December 25th, 2013 at 11:15:20 AM permalink
You have a higher chance to die by a flesh eating bacteria.
tringlomane
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December 25th, 2013 at 11:19:09 AM permalink
Hopefully the dealer had the lowest flush...crazy.
Ibeatyouraces
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December 25th, 2013 at 11:50:52 AM permalink
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DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
pictureman
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December 25th, 2013 at 12:15:45 PM permalink
The dealer qualified with a Q.ueen high, but I had a King high and the other player had an Ace high. We both beat the dealer.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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December 25th, 2013 at 12:19:15 PM permalink
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DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
Twirdman
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December 25th, 2013 at 12:26:11 PM permalink
Quote: pictureman

The dealer qualified with a Q.ueen high, but I had a King high and the other player had an Ace high. We both beat the dealer.



OK that is an amazingly awesome hand then.
onenickelmiracle
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December 25th, 2013 at 1:08:33 PM permalink
Those are some long odds. I don't know if it's just me, but when I hear of such events, I have to assume the odds of it being actually not random are higher than being a random event. Some kind of shuffling error or machine malfunction.
I am a robot.
Twirdman
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December 25th, 2013 at 1:22:19 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Those are some long odds. I don't know if it's just me, but when I hear of such events, I have to assume the odds of it being actually not random are higher than being a random event. Some kind of shuffling error or machine malfunction.



Not really. Have to realize its an odd even to witness but there are a lot of 3 card poker machines and rare events just happen. I mean the odds of any single person getting hit by lightning exceedingly low but many people do. Or the lotto chance of someone winning lotto is astronomically low but people win all the time.
onenickelmiracle
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December 25th, 2013 at 1:35:13 PM permalink
My premise is although it could be legit, it just makes more sense for it to be a mistake. Human error screws up all the odds.
I am a robot.
Twirdman
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December 25th, 2013 at 1:44:37 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

My premise is although it could be legit, it just makes more sense for it to be a mistake. Human error screws up all the odds.



Why though? 1 in a million seems unusual but in the realm of possibilities when you consider how many hands of 3 card poker are dealt. Forum poster happened to be there when it happened but someone was bound to be there when it happened. Again lotto is like 1 in 200 million or something like that and yet people win that without any cheating happening.
pictureman
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December 25th, 2013 at 2:20:18 PM permalink
This happened randomly. It was not after they exchanged the cards for new ones. Besides, even they did, new cards are mixed and spread out all over the table. As far as a machine malfunction, how is that possible? The machine that mixes the cards doesn't read the cards. All it does is mix and puts 3 cards into the next slot on the wheel.
onenickelmiracle
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December 25th, 2013 at 2:37:52 PM permalink
I guess Im just cynical and don't believe in anything. Never mind.
I am a robot.
bw
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December 25th, 2013 at 2:42:18 PM permalink
Quote: pictureman

This happened randomly. It was not after they exchanged the cards for new ones. Besides, even they did, new cards are mixed and spread out all over the table. As far as a machine malfunction, how is that possible? The machine that mixes the cards doesn't read the cards. All it does is mix and puts 3 cards into the next slot on the wheel.



who told you it doesnt read the cards?
bw
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December 25th, 2013 at 2:44:21 PM permalink
With cutting-edge card recognition technology that reads the rank and suit of every card being shuffled, the i-Deal single-deck specialty shuffler brings an unprecedented level of security to popular games like Three Card poker that feature high odds and jackpot payouts like Three Card Poker
pictureman
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December 25th, 2013 at 4:30:54 PM permalink
Quote: bw

With cutting-edge card recognition technology that reads the rank and suit of every card being shuffled, the i-Deal single-deck specialty shuffler brings an unprecedented level of security to popular games like Three Card poker that feature high odds and jackpot payouts like Three Card Poker



I stand corrected!..but I won the hand
Mission146
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December 26th, 2013 at 6:06:03 AM permalink
Every unique combination of nine cards is extremely and equally unlikely to occur, if you break it down by rank and suit, but we only notice it when it is a made hand of some sort. Despite the fact that all of the combinations of cards, taken individually, are extremely unlikely to occur, one of them always must...unless the dealer has a heart attack and dies in the middle of the shuffle.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
JB
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JB
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December 26th, 2013 at 7:33:04 AM permalink
Quote: pictureman

The dealer qualified with a Q.ueen high, but I had a King high and the other player had an Ace high. We both beat the dealer.


The dealer always qualifies with a flush, whether it is queen-high or 2-3-5.
tringlomane
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December 26th, 2013 at 9:01:38 AM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Those are some long odds. I don't know if it's just me, but when I hear of such events, I have to assume the odds of it being actually not random are higher than being a random event. Some kind of shuffling error or machine malfunction.



I can see your point, but when you consider how many 3 card poker hands are dealt per year worldwide, you could definitely expect this to happen yearly somewhere in a completely random game, likely more often than that. I'd love to be Derek Webb right now.
AxelWolf
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December 26th, 2013 at 9:49:53 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Every unique combination of nine cards is extremely and equally unlikely to occur, if you break it down by rank and suit, but we only notice it when it is a made hand of some sort. Despite the fact that all of the combinations of cards, taken individually, are extremely unlikely to occur, one of them always must...unless the dealer has a heart attack and dies in the middle of the shuffle.

This is what I tried to explain in a different thread. Every time you get dealt a hand on video poker, the odds of that hand coming up in that exact combination, defies the odds.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Ibeatyouraces
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December 26th, 2013 at 10:54:36 AM permalink
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DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
pictureman
pictureman
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December 26th, 2013 at 11:14:18 AM permalink
Quote: JB

The dealer always qualifies with a flush, whether it is queen-high or 2-3-5.



You are right! I'm so used to having the dealer qualify with a Queen. I just knew at that moment that my flush beat the dealers.
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