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| SejaPena777 Member since: Sep 20, 2011 Threads: 1 Posts: 2 | Hello Wizard. i flatbetted 1 unit at BJ game with 99.5% return for about a month.
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Hand played |
P/L |
Probability of Loss |
| Session 1 |
540 |
-40 |
7.99% |
| Session 2 |
486 |
-40 |
6.78% |
| Session 3 |
90 |
+12 |
|
| Session 4 |
270 |
+4 |
|
| Session 5 |
72 |
+10 |
|
| Session 6 |
36 |
+10 |
|
| Session 7 |
216 |
-60 |
0.02% |
| Session 8 |
158 |
+5 |
|
| Total |
1868 |
-99 |
3.46% |
Sample size may be small.Can you say mathematically how likely this game is fair ? Session 7 number suppose to happen only 1 in 5000 if this game is fair. Total loss happens only 3% ,2 sigma event. I know it can happen in fair games.However out of 8 session 3 sessions were ended with more than 1 standard deviation loss . One is more than 3 standard deviation loss.I feel it is less likely a fair game. I want the opinion of someone like Wizard who has deeper mathematical knowledge than me. Please do not comment about negative expectation of the game.I know I lose 0.5% from the game itself in a long run if it is fair. It is not the point of the question. |