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Card Craps counting

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December 22nd, 2010 at 10:41:11 PM permalink
precursor0
Member since: Dec 27, 2009
Threads: 8
Posts: 10
Discountgambling.net has a section on how to count cards at california craps tables, can anyone vouch for this? Does it work, is the math correct?
December 22nd, 2010 at 11:01:01 PM permalink
MathExtremist
Member since: Aug 31, 2010
Threads: 46
Posts: 2521
Make sure you're at the right version of the game, but yes, you can count. There's a section on WoO on it too.
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
December 22nd, 2010 at 11:02:25 PM permalink
Wavy70
Member since: Nov 3, 2009
Threads: 15
Posts: 822
From the title I thought this may be the best system yet. Forgot about Cali Cards.

"How many dice are left in the bowl?"
I have a bewitched egg that I use to play VP with and I have net over 900k with it.
December 23rd, 2010 at 2:01:13 AM permalink
focd
Member since: Sep 15, 2010
Threads: 19
Posts: 128
Quote: precursor0
Discountgambling.net has a section on how to count cards at california craps tables, can anyone vouch for this? Does it work, is the math correct?

I've always questioned the validity of that argument.
December 23rd, 2010 at 5:21:59 AM permalink
fabianbranson
Member since: Oct 18, 2010
Threads: 0
Posts: 26
Never heard more of card counting method in craps game. I mostly count cards in blackjack game. And ho can you count cards in craps game. It is a dice game. So in craps game we apply the dice controls methods not the card counting methods of blackjack game.
December 23rd, 2010 at 5:26:26 AM permalink
Croupier
Member since: Nov 15, 2009
Threads: 54
Posts: 1094
Quote: fabianbranson
Never heard more of card counting method in craps game. And ho[w] can you count cards in craps game. It is a dice game.


Not in California. Due to the regulations that require all gambling outcomes to have an element of skill, only card games are allowed. (if my understanding is correct). The game can be found here
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December 23rd, 2010 at 5:29:20 AM permalink
SanchoPanza
Member since: May 10, 2010
Threads: 24
Posts: 735
Quote: MathExtremist
Make sure you're at the right version of the game, but yes, you can count. There's a section on WoO on it too.

That could be what the other poster was referring to when he said California was trying to make craps a game of skill. :)
December 23rd, 2010 at 5:35:05 AM permalink
Croupier
Member since: Nov 15, 2009
Threads: 54
Posts: 1094
I suppoe by skill they mean a decision has to be made. I think this is discussed in another thread somewhere, but I cannot for the life of me remember where.
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December 23rd, 2010 at 5:43:43 AM permalink
SanchoPanza
Member since: May 10, 2010
Threads: 24
Posts: 735
Quote: precursor0
Discountgambling.net has a section on how to count cards at california craps tables, can anyone vouch for this? Does it work, is the math correct?

The site also points out correctly that the ludicrous California system makes a complete hash of so-called independent random events:

"Overview

Card craps is identical to the original game, except that the dice rolls are replaced by two cards dealts from a 5-deck constant shuffling machine (CSM). As most experienced gamblers notice immediately, the odds are a little different because of the shoe. As soon as two cards are dealt from the shoe, the distribution for the next roll changes. This can’t be helped, even if the dealer shuffles the muck into the CSM after every roll. Analysis shows that the average 3-4 rolls buffered in the chute of the CSM actually tilts the game in favor of the don’t pass / don’t come player. Even without counting, the 10x odds don’t pass player has a small edge over the house (about +0.9% of the don’t pass bet). A simple card-counting strategy allows the player to vary the don’t pass (or pass) odds per roll, improving the return to about 1.8% of the flat DC bet. This means for a $5 Don’t Pass bet, you’ll make an average of $.09 per game, laying 10x odds when the count is positive."

and

"Card Craps Source Code
Posted in card craps by stephenhow on September 5, 2010

The card craps players at Viejas definitely lean towards Don’t Pass now, even when I’m not at the table :) The astute players understand that the game is unlike dice craps, and the rolls aren’t quite independent of each other. Yesterday a Don’t player I’ve never seen before started to lecture me on this point before I could tell him I agreed. Then a young couple came and started playing DP and laying odds, like they knew what was going on. When the regulars are playing, at least half the table plays Don’t.

Anyways, I decided to clean up and post my Java source code for card craps, including the CSM model, the roll window, etc. You can download my source code, inspect the models, experiment with the parameters, and verify my results (+1.5% of the flat bet @ 10x Dont’ Pass odds using 3-roll count for the current Viejas shuffler; -3.6% for 10x odds Pass Line player!). I’m posting the source code to show how simple the CSM effect is on the craps game."
December 23rd, 2010 at 9:49:30 PM permalink
focd
Member since: Sep 15, 2010
Threads: 19
Posts: 128
Quote: SanchoPanza
That could be what the other poster was referring to when he said California was trying to make craps a game of skill. :)

I think that's what one poster claimed (that they need to make it a game of skill). From some of the things that poster said, I think it's nonsense. I think the poster even claimed that you can make decisions in the game of baccarrat. I wouldn't take any of what that poster says to be fact. There's absolutely no evidence to support his arguments.

EDIT - this is the thread - http://wizardofvegas.com/forum/questions-and-answers/gambling/3773-craps-and-roulette-regulations/4/
the poster never really explains how he arrived at his conclusions- he/she just says they're written vaguely etc... I personally think it can't be serious based on what he/she says as the poster doesn't respond to questions and explain further
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