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Powerball... Odds of a shared jackpot?

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Poll
5 votes (25%)
1 vote (5%)
1 vote (5%)
7 votes (35%)
3 votes (15%)
3 votes (15%)

20 members have voted

November 28th, 2012 at 11:55:22 AM permalink
tringlomane
Member since: Aug 25, 2012
Threads: 0
Posts: 1363
Quote: FinsRule
I have a real hard time believing there won't be a winner. 25% seems awfully high. I read that they are selling 100K tickets PER MINUTE.


It's correct if they are correct on their estimate.

And if they are selling 100K per minute for the next 8 hours, that's only 48M tickets. I'm guessing that number included dead periods (in missouri, it's illegal to buy lottery tickets from 2 to 5 am, iirc)

The current jackpot estimate implies there are roughly 230M tickets that will be sold.

No winners given random tickets is:

Probability of not winning raised to the power of the number of tickets sold.

(175,223,509/175,223,510)^230,000,000 = 0.269
November 28th, 2012 at 1:27:13 PM permalink
bushman
Member since: Feb 17, 2010
Threads: 3
Posts: 80
Quote: tringlomane
It's correct if they are correct on their estimate.

And if they are selling 100K per minute for the next 8 hours, that's only 48M tickets. I'm guessing that number included dead periods (in missouri, it's illegal to buy lottery tickets from 2 to 5 am, iirc)

The current jackpot estimate implies there are roughly 230M tickets that will be sold.

No winners given random tickets is:

Probability of not winning raised to the power of the number of tickets sold.

(175,223,509/175,223,510)^230,000,000 = 0.269


I am with you and what you said. My question to you is how and where did you find the information on how the monies spent on the game are broken down? I have not found boo on the Powerball site.
Never count your winnings at hour 23 of a 24-hour drive.
November 28th, 2012 at 2:07:42 PM permalink
slyther
Member since: Feb 1, 2010
Threads: 11
Posts: 588
got my 1 ticket
November 28th, 2012 at 2:11:28 PM permalink
Buzzard
Member since: Oct 28, 2012
Threads: 42
Posts: 2120
Quote: slyther
got my 1 ticket


That's all it takes.
November 28th, 2012 at 2:13:05 PM permalink
tringlomane
Member since: Aug 25, 2012
Threads: 0
Posts: 1363
Quote: bushman
I am with you and what you said. My question to you is how and where did you find the information on how the monies spent on the game are broken down? I have not found boo on the Powerball site.


Well, I did make one assumption since I failed to find it in writing, but it's fairly common with major lotteries, and I do vaguely remember reading this fact applied to Powerball long ago. I assumed 50% of sales go to the prize pool (i.e. $1 for every $2 ticket). The prizes and odds are listed here: http://www.powerball.com/powerball/pb_prizes.asp

So if you do all the math, you'll find that prizes that aren't the jackpot are worth 36.05 cents. So 63.95 cents go to the jackpot. Then I looked at the difference in the cash values between the 2 jackpots $147M divide this by 0.6395 to get 230M tickets.
November 28th, 2012 at 3:46:10 PM permalink
newuser
Member since: Nov 28, 2012
Threads: 0
Posts: 3
anyone know what the odds drop if i playmy numbers with the 35 powerball numbers?
November 28th, 2012 at 3:47:37 PM permalink
newuser
Member since: Nov 28, 2012
Threads: 0
Posts: 3
Quote: newuser
anyone know what the odds drop if i playmy numbers with the 35 powerball numbers?
November 28th, 2012 at 3:50:25 PM permalink
newuser
Member since: Nov 28, 2012
Threads: 0
Posts: 3
do you know the odd if i play all 35 powerball numbers with my 5 regular numbers
November 28th, 2012 at 3:54:30 PM permalink
tringlomane
Member since: Aug 25, 2012
Threads: 0
Posts: 1363
Quote: newuser
do you know the oddsin i play all 35powerball numbers withmy 5 regular numbers


35 in 175,223,510 or 1 in 5,006,386. You will also win $34M more if you would be lucky enough to hit your 5 white ball choices.
November 28th, 2012 at 4:11:42 PM permalink
Buzzard
Member since: Oct 28, 2012
Threads: 42
Posts: 2120
Don't waste your money. I just bought the winning ticket.
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Bovada is the only Internet casino endorsed by the Wizard.
Here are my reasons why and my promise of support.