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WoV Challenge -- Predict the price of gold on Jan 1, 2013.

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January 29th, 2012 at 5:52:08 PM permalink
odiousgambit
Member since: Nov 9, 2009
Threads: 174
Posts: 2412
Quote: pacomartin
But gold does not have to go back down to $500 an ounce. It could level off and stay at it's price for decades.


It spent about two decades at a very flat price below $500/oz from about 1983-2004. This chart prices it in $/gm.

PS: note the line for constant 1971 dollars [edit]. Not so impressive there.

"Baccarat is a game whereby the croupier gathers in money with a flexible sculling oar, then rakes it home. If I could have borrowed his oar I would have stayed." Mark Twain
February 1st, 2012 at 11:31:29 AM permalink
98Clubs
Member since: Jun 3, 2010
Threads: 10
Posts: 290
As for the OP I will guess US$2280 London Spot Close on 01/01/2013.
To err is human. To air is Jordan. To arrr is Pirate.
February 1st, 2012 at 11:31:44 AM permalink
98Clubs
Member since: Jun 3, 2010
Threads: 10
Posts: 290
It did, but certain events did start this inexorable clinb to $1750. I was buying in the $400 range about 2003-5. The last time I recommended it was after the 2008 Crash that dropped it from $950 to $750. Its more than doubled in less than 3.5 years. Theres talk of Quantitative Easing again, print-up $5T and buy bonds. If that happens my estimate is way low.
To err is human. To air is Jordan. To arrr is Pirate.
February 1st, 2012 at 11:45:34 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Nov 11, 2009
Threads: 218
Posts: 7275
Quote: Wizard
PM me your predictions by 12:01 a.m. Feb 1.


Missed it by that much :)
This space is closed for remodeling
February 1st, 2012 at 12:50:16 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 14, 2009
Threads: 313
Posts: 6776
I've been running really busy with the Super Bowl and other stuff. I should have the predictions up later today, hopefully.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
February 1st, 2012 at 12:56:02 PM permalink
EvenBob
Member since: Jul 18, 2010
Threads: 231
Posts: 6400
Quote: Nareed
A soul is a terrible thing to waste on religion


But you have no soul, you sold it to the Wiz..
One casino owner to another: "It would be so much easier if we could just hit them over the head, steal their money, and throw their bodies in the creek." Al Swearengen, Deadwood
February 1st, 2012 at 3:36:32 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 14, 2009
Threads: 313
Posts: 6776
Here are your predictions.


Member Prediction
YoDiceRoll11  $2,776.00
thlf $2,300.00
Johnzimbo  $2,131.41
bigfoot66 $2,101.00
pacomartin $2,030.00
WizardofEngland  $2,012.31
SONBP2 $2,012.00
mickpk $2,001.00
 appistapp1s  $1,955.21
calwatch $1,950.00
CrystalMath $1,899.00
Ayecarumba  $1,851.02
slyther $1,823.00
ChampagneFireball  $1,774.01
dtyst1 $1,654.32
JohnnyQ $1,625.25
minnesotajoe $1,620.00
Asswhoopermcdaddy  $1,525.00
AcesAndEights  $1,500.00
SOOPOO $1,486.00
duckmankilla  $1,436.59
P90 $1,400.00
Gazreal $1,367.43
boymimbo $1,340.00
EvenBob $1,340.00
Avczilla $1,302.00
Scotty71 $1,282.01
Boz $1,280.00
AZDuffman $1,238.46
odiousgambit  $1,201.00
ncfatcat  $820.00
s2dbaker $642.88


I'm not playing in my own contest, but my unofficial guess is $1300.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
February 1st, 2012 at 3:47:56 PM permalink
Ayecarumba
Member since: Nov 17, 2009
Threads: 113
Posts: 2041
Thanks Wizard. What if there is a tie?
February 1st, 2012 at 3:58:10 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 14, 2009
Threads: 313
Posts: 6776
Quote: Ayecarumba
Thanks Wizard. What if there is a tie?


There will be a split prize. There will also be a Booby prize if anybody gets it exactly right -- to be determined later.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
February 1st, 2012 at 4:02:40 PM permalink
edward
Member since: Jan 18, 2012
Threads: 0
Posts: 73
Hello,

i wanted to pm you the prediction as well but forgot. Just for the record it would have been 1462.24 :-))
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Here are my reasons why and my promise of support.