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Very Orwellian Here

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February 8th, 2010 at 9:03:44 PM permalink

scotty81

Member since: Feb 4, 2010
Threads: 2
Posts: 72

I'm new here to this forum, but I can tell you that I didn't believe in precision shooting until I had a personal conversation with Stanford Wong, who sold me on the idea that it is possible. I set up a craps table in my garage to test it out, and practiced for about 6 months. I came to the conclusion that although I could not do it, and probably never could because I have a muscle control problem (age related), I am convinced that someone with skill and dedication could do it. In fact, there were times when I was "in the zone" and could see how the dice held together as then spun in unison toward the back of the table.

Like any other advantage method, there are probably a hundred people who try and fail for every one that succeeds. The Santa Ana Star casino in ABQ has become the mecca for those who think they can, but fail. If you play in ABQ, you can place the 4/10 with no vig whatsoever. A straight 2 to 1 payoff. The field pays triple on both the 12 and 2.

After observing all of this, I now believe that those who try and fail are actually playing with a negative edge greater than if they weren't trying at all. There is a definite physical cause and effect. But, the effect can work negatively just as well as it can work positively.

You can't prove or disprove anyone's claim that they have the skill to overcome the edge in craps. It is such a small nudge in the odds that it would take thousands of controlled trials to get into statistical significance.

But, I would never belittle anyone for such a claim simply because I cannot do it myself.

February 8th, 2010 at 9:04:25 PM permalink
Aussie Member since: Dec 29, 2009 Threads: 8 Posts: 80	I just go on what I see and I saw nothing but trolling from you on that other thread. My last comment on this as I don't want to get into an argument with someone of this nature.

February 8th, 2010 at 9:07:09 PM permalink

sevenshooter

Member since: Dec 26, 2009
Threads: 7
Posts: 78

Quote: stephen
Quote: sevenshooter

I would venture to say I am probably one of the few contributors here who actually plays for a living. Plus, your comments are directed towards one of the very few gamblers around who actually can manipulate dice. I joined this site with the intention of being a helpful and resourceful guide to those curious about obtaining an edge in certain games over which I am most familiar.

I do not enjoy being called a, "troll", nor do I deserve it.

You're right, you probably don't deserve this treatment. I was kind of a jerk to you earlier and it was probably uncalled for, so I apologize. I was being glib because I thought there was a high percentage chance you were trolling, but you seem to be genuine.

Here's the thing though. From our perspective, it's very hard to know: 1. Whether you are are just messing with us (trolling) and, if not, 2. Whether you are just a deluded kook.

I don't mean to say you are either of those things, but since this is a probability-focused place let's think about it in those terms. There are a lot of people on the Internet who are basically liars (trolls, con artists selling betting schemes) or kooks (people who genuinely believe in insane things). If you come here and make arguments that sound like the sorts of thing group A says and then defend it with the sort of logic employed by group B (especially the "I'm not listening to your math but instead going by own experience for which I have no evidence), what are we to think? That the probability is highest that you're actually in group C, a person who seems like a troll/kook but is not? Group C is much, much smaller than the union of groups A and B, right? So just playing the odds, our assumption is that you're a troll or a kook or both.

Again, this doesn't mean you are in group A or B; just that our assumption is you are. From our perspective, can you blame us? We don't know you. You make very bold claims and we are to accept them based on the strength of your word, posting behind a pseudonym. It's not particularly logical for us to believe you.

You have made some good posts in the past. But don't act surprised when we greet your claims with suspicion and skepticism.

Then let's agree that in the future your collective opinions of me should be based on the quality of my contributions.

February 9th, 2010 at 4:47:06 AM permalink
JB Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 282 Posts: 457	Quote: sevenshooter Then let's agree that in the future your collective opinions of me should be based on the quality of my contributions. The original thread has been reopened if you wish to continue discussion about your betting system there. Webmaster - WizardOfVegas.com

February 9th, 2010 at 5:28:03 AM permalink
cclub79 Member since: Dec 16, 2009 Threads: 21 Posts: 642	Whoa, I'm more interested in the Field Bet and the Place Bets on 4/10 at Santa Ana. Are these promos or do they require additional bets?

February 9th, 2010 at 6:06:55 AM permalink

boymimbo

Member since: Nov 12, 2009
Threads: 4
Posts: 866

Quote: cclub79
Whoa, I'm more interested in the Field Bet and the Place Bets on 4/10 at Santa Ana. Are these promos or do they require additional bets?

From the Santa Ana Star's web site:

Quote:
Enjoy the best odds in New Mexico including free buy on the four and 10, the best prop bets in the US and 10X odds! Craps is fast-paced and fun and many players consider it to be the most exciting casino game. Any member of our Table Games staff will gladly assist you if you have any questions.

Woo hoo!

----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!

February 9th, 2010 at 6:08:34 AM permalink

scotty81

Member since: Feb 4, 2010
Threads: 2
Posts: 72

<<>>

No, they don't require any additional bets. You can walk up, place the 4 or 10 only, and get paid 2:1 if you win. The same way with the field (triple 2/12). They have been offering this game for at least three years that I know about.

I don't live in ABQ, but will be going back next month. Every time I go, I expect the game to be changed, but it has always been the same. I can report back next time I go.

February 9th, 2010 at 7:00:10 AM permalink
odiousgambit Member since: Nov 9, 2009 Threads: 69 Posts: 624	this probably ought to be a new thread, but.... Are you REALLY saying that there is a bet you could bet all day long and not be up against a house edge? What's the explanation? that ain't paying the rent! I had the thought that hopefully competition will mean this sort of thing spreads.

February 9th, 2010 at 3:56:57 PM permalink
Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 59 Posts: 1551	I'm also very interested in a firm answer to that question. I just sent the casino an e-mail, and am awaiting a reply. Under table games I just found the claim that they have "the best prop bets." It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.

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