Bovada is the only Internet casino endorsed by the Wizard.
Here are my reasons why and my promise of support.

First Ohio Casino Opening

Page 3 of 3<123
January 8th, 2012 at 11:27:48 AM permalink
teddys
Member since: Nov 14, 2009
Threads: 100
Posts: 2723
Quote: Tiltpoul
I know the history suggests that Cleveland will be huge, and I don't doubt that it will be, especially initially. The problem is it will command too high of a price to play. Casinos get greedy when they are new and have a locked market. There will be a correction after a few months of being opened, when Erie/Mountaineer ramps up efforts to get the Cleveland customers back. It may not work; people don't like to travel to gamble if they don't have to, but it will take fringe customers who simply can't afford to play at Horseshoe.

Further, while Dan Gilbert does have a ton of money, history has shown that small casino outfits that try to play with big boys (i.e. Colony Capital) have not been successful. This will be apparent when revenue drops, but they are still forced to pay 33% in taxes to the state. Revenue will of course drop since locals will stop going if table min don't drop, or the drop in table mins will generate less revenue. ROC will bolt from the project, leaving Caesars to buy it up.

If ROC is successful and the casino is making money hand over foot (which I don't think it will) consistently for a few years, it will want to drop the partnership with Caesars in favor of keeping all the money. This will lead to a rebranding (similar to Harrah's Prairie Band in Kansas, which is now just Prairie Band). However, without the venerable Total Rewards program, they lose incentive for people to travel to the property, becoming even more of a locals joint.
It's too bad we don't know/trust each other 'cause I would definitely take the other side of this bet. I predict a huge initial opening, a slight dip after the initial hoopla but then steady increases until the new place is built, at which point it will spike again.

Getting away from predictions for a moment, I am very interested in how Caesars/ROC will handle the new casino. It has the potential to be really well done, especially if they utilize the architecture and decor well. It could be as good as MGM Detroit, which is one of the best in the country, IMO. The Hollywood properties in Toledo and Columbus are blah -- know what to expect from Penn National, and it will be the usual Burger King-type casino.
"If you can make one heap of all your winnings / And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss / And lose, and start again at your beginnings / And never breathe a word about your loss..." -Rudyard Kipling
January 8th, 2012 at 12:29:51 PM permalink
JohnnyQ
Member since: Nov 3, 2009
Threads: 49
Posts: 590
Quote: EvenBob
Any new casino opening hurts Vegas, if only a little.
q]

I live close enough that I'll want to at least check-out the
Cleveland and Toledo casinos.

I will still probably go out to LV once or twice a year, and
my HOPE is that this increase in competition ends up being
good for the consumer ( gambler ).

Lower airfare to LV would be nice !
Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand
January 8th, 2012 at 3:20:50 PM permalink
FleaStiff
Member since: Oct 19, 2009
Threads: 75
Posts: 4820
Quote: JohnnyQ
Lower airfare to LV would be nice !
Yep. However a town that is built on tips... doesn't ever want to tip the airlines.

Smaller shows? Frank Sinatra would often enter by the same doors the customers did and walk through the table area to get to the stage.

All Vegas is really know for now is slot machines, upscale restaurants, pool parties, drug.. er, uh... rock concert beer swills and Party Clubs where the men think they will get serviced but its only the bottles that get that.
Anything other than slots in a casino is known largely as a backdrop or scene from some popular movie or TV show.
Vdara? Lets go see the Vdara Death Ray, as long as we toke two of those little greenie things, the waitress will bring us some burnt plastic cup, we don't actually have to stay away from the clubs for a full two hours or anything.

Strip clubs... Vegas is full of hype about loose slot and its also full of hype about loose women at strip clubs.
January 8th, 2012 at 3:44:59 PM permalink
Tiltpoul
Member since: May 5, 2010
Threads: 28
Posts: 1145
Quote: teddys
Getting away from predictions for a moment, I am very interested in how Caesars/ROC will handle the new casino. It has the potential to be really well done, especially if they utilize the architecture and decor well. It could be as good as MGM Detroit, which is one of the best in the country, IMO. The Hollywood properties in Toledo and Columbus are blah -- know what to expect from Penn National, and it will be the usual Burger King-type casino.


The architecture from the pictures shows it will be upscale. I imagine it will be really well done. But while at work today, I thought of other partnership casinos that never worked out for both parties. Borgata (MGM gets the boot from NJ government when they want to open in Macau) is now 50% Boyd, 50% some little group. Boyd only hasn't bought the rest out since AC isn't guaranteed viable and they are sunk in worthless property where Echelon should be.

Monte Carlo never really found its niche as a cooperation between Circus Circus and MGM Grand (ironic that they are now the same company... maybe it was foreshadowing...) MGM Grand at Foxwoods is part of the complex, so casual players may not even recognize the difference between the two. Partnerships just don't work in the long run, especially when one is controlling funds and the other is controlling operations. One side always wants more of the pie, and in this case, once it proves to be viable, I see Caesars gobbling up Gilbert's investment.

Don't get me wrong by the way. I think Cleveland will always be a good market, regardless. I just don't believe that it they will respond to changes in market conditions, causing a dip in revenue which will be perceived as a problem of operations (ROC will want to take full control), or a change in market (where ROC will want to get out.) I predict the latter, as rebranding can have dire consequences if done wrong. I just don't see them ever lowering table mins and increasing cashback, because they see themselves as having complete control over the market. That's fine, at least initially, but people catch on and things level to the right amount.
[Profile updated... more to come]
Page 3 of 3<123

 

Bovada is the only Internet casino endorsed by the Wizard.
Here are my reasons why and my promise of support.