zuti6
zuti6
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November 21st, 2015 at 4:41:08 PM permalink
Ok,ive just checked all the posts on video poker and havent found one with advice how to use vp to clear deposit (or other) bonuses online.
What amount of playthrough is too much that makes us lose ev? (50x ,100x 300x ? )
What strategys are best for beating bonuses with video poker ? (big bets ,lots of small bets -double up features)

I think this thread should exist so fire away.

Given that most bonuses nowdays are Slot Heavy and give 10% on vp clear rate to me it seems betting big and going for royal to be good strategy ...perhaps ...then grind down the rest . Obviously this is a volatile (but fun strategy) and many people might not like it .
Mission146
Mission146
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November 21st, 2015 at 6:05:47 PM permalink
The highest possible wagering requirement that could still result in a profit depends on the HE of the VP game in question.

Playing big and going for the Royal sucks, you should make the hold with the best EV. Your amount per hand bet does not change your expectation if the paytable is the same, but can increase or decrease Variance. For less Variance, bet as little as you can stand.

Double up features generally do not count towards Wagering Requirements.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
zuti6
zuti6
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November 22nd, 2015 at 1:10:07 AM permalink
What are the highest possible wr that could still result in profit for Jacks 96?
Mission146
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November 22nd, 2015 at 2:37:27 AM permalink
Quote: zuti6

What are the highest possible wr that could still result in profit for Jacks 96?



You're always really short on specifics! I would need to know how much the Bonus is and whether or not it is a Phantom Bonus.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
zuti6
zuti6
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November 22nd, 2015 at 2:43:08 AM permalink
Oh damn ,sorry. Lets say its a matched bonus . And a common (i think ) deposit 100 get 200 insta. What would be wr playthrough thats max where we keep ev?
GWAE
GWAE
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November 22nd, 2015 at 7:15:52 AM permalink
Quote: zuti6

Oh damn ,sorry. Lets say its a matched bonus . And a common (i think ) deposit 100 get 200 insta. What would be wr playthrough thats max where we keep ev?



What you are missing is that sometimes you put in 100 and get 200. Once you cash out they take their 200 back. So if you clear your bonus and your balance is $198, when you cash out you would get $0.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
zuti6
zuti6
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November 22nd, 2015 at 7:51:59 AM permalink
Is it always like that? Id assume at some places you get to keep 198$
Mission146
Mission146
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November 22nd, 2015 at 8:30:32 AM permalink
Quote: zuti6

Is it always like that? Id assume at some places you get to keep 198$



Some, you must determine whether or not the Bonus itself is cashable.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
zuti6
zuti6
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November 23rd, 2015 at 2:49:49 AM permalink
Mission ,lets say bonus is absoultely cashable .What is our strategy then all the above factors being the same?
Romes
Romes
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November 23rd, 2015 at 7:29:33 AM permalink
Quote: zuti6

Mission ,lets say bonus is absoultely cashable .What is our strategy then all the above factors being the same?

It's really fairly simple math. Just slow down, gather all of your variables, and think...

If you deposit $100, get $200, for a total account of $300... and you have a decent game to play, say 9-6 JoB (99.54% Expected Return)... then you just need to know how many times you have to cycle the bonus money through.

If you have to cycle it through 40 times, then that's your Total Action... 40x200 = 8,000 in total action. 60x200 = 12,000 in total action... 100x200 is 20,000 in total action etc.

So now you know your Expected Return, you know your Total Action, and thus you can calculate your EV...

If you play 9-6 JoB for 20,000 (100x bonus rollover) in action, your Expected Loss (EL) = TotalAction * HouseEdge = (20,000)*(-.0046) = -92. If you're getting $200 bonus, and you can cash that bonus out, then you can expect (on average) to make $108 from that bonus.

Summary
Get the variables: house edge of the best game you can play, how much Total Action you'll need on that game given the bonus you'll get, if you can cash out the bonus after the play through...

Next do the calculations: Find out what your expected loss would be, given your Total Action and the House Edge. If your expected loss is LESS than the value of the bonus, then you can expect to make money*.

*This does not figure in Standard Deviations, etc. This means yes, you can 'expect on average' to make money, but don't forget about variance which may lead you to win more, or lose more (and thus lose on any given bonus).


I figure this is 1) easy enough, and 2) common knowledge enough to post. If anyone disagrees just message me and I can remove.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
GWAE
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November 23rd, 2015 at 8:26:58 AM permalink
Of course you have to figure out the percentage of actually being paid when you win. That's usually a 50/50 proposition.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
Romes
Romes
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November 23rd, 2015 at 9:19:47 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Of course you have to figure out the percentage of actually being paid when you win. That's usually a 50/50 proposition.

You'd rate it that high? =P I'd think your chances of actually being paid are a bit lower than that!
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
zuti6
zuti6
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November 23rd, 2015 at 1:52:07 PM permalink
Thanks romes. Makes sense obviously.

"*This does not figure in Standard Deviations, etc. This means yes, you can 'expect on average' to make money, but don't forget about variance which may lead you to win more, or lose more (and thus lose on any given bonus)."

Romes, given the SD and variance, what percentage should i bet of total "bankroll" of 100 deposit +200 bonus aka 300 ? if i bet 1.25 $ thats good or should i bet more?
Romes
Romes
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November 23rd, 2015 at 2:12:46 PM permalink
It really depends on how long you have to meet the wagering requirements. If they're 100x then betting 1.25 per hand could take you a while to run 200 through. If you got 200 bonus and need 100x wagering requirements (20,000) you have to put through that much action. Say you're playing JoB and playing fast (800 hands per hour), which means 800x1.25 = 1,000 an hour of total action. You'd need to do this for 20 hours in order to meet the betting requirements.

After 20 hours your EL = (20,000)*(-.0046) = -92... which means you're Expected Value EV = $108 from the promotion.

The variance in VP is high... The Wiz has a page with all of the diff games and their variances. 9/6 JoB is the lowest, but I think think it was still a fair amount. I could see $300 lasting at the quarter level for 20 hours, but I could also easily see you busting before hitting the 20 hour mark with only $300. Think about going to a real casino with $300 and playing .25 level VP for 20 hours straight. Odds are that $300 won't last unless you hit something big near the beginning, in which you'd probably just want to cash it out and be done... The bonuses now days are set up so that you basically can't win them... and 1/2 the time even if you do, they simply don't pay you and screw you because they're online sites.

Unless you find something online you can make some REAL money doing, from a REPUTABLE site that you're confident will pay you, I'd just stay away from trying to "AP" online promotions. If you just want to play for fun as well, then stick to a reputable site but go for it.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
zuti6
zuti6
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November 25th, 2015 at 12:58:54 PM permalink
Either way lets face it . All deposit bonuses have 400x wag req for video poker and thus arent profitable at all. silly casinos.
AxelWolf
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November 25th, 2015 at 1:31:01 PM permalink
Quote: zuti6

Either way lets face it . All deposit bonuses have 400x wag req for video poker and thus arent profitable at all. silly casinos.

ALL? That's not true.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
zuti6
zuti6
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November 25th, 2015 at 3:46:22 PM permalink
Ive looked at wizard approved casinos and Ive found 1 that has more than 10% wagering requirements counting with video poker and that was 20% . So with 10% it means like 300x deposit+bonus and we are losing there, no? It seems that about 225x wag req with jacks 96 is breakeven spot if im not wrong and finding less than 250 is a miracle ,at least with reputable sites. Maybe im not looking in right places?

and i meant to say 300 not 400 .oops.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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November 26th, 2015 at 12:43:09 AM permalink
Quote: zuti6

Ive looked at wizard approved casinos and Ive found 1 that has more than 10% wagering requirements counting with video poker and that was 20% . So with 10% it means like 300x deposit+bonus and we are losing there, no? It seems that about 225x wag req with jacks 96 is breakeven spot if im not wrong and finding less than 250 is a miracle ,at least with reputable sites. Maybe im not looking in right places?

and i meant to say 300 not 400 .oops.

Oh, you meant only the Wizard sites.

Try LCB.

Have you looked at Winaday?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
zuti6
zuti6
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November 26th, 2015 at 2:46:23 AM permalink
Why would you recommend winaday when their video poker is a slot ? I actually checked their games with no deposit upon your recommendation and its a fun looking site but being gaffed how could i allow myself to deposit and expect +ev...
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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November 26th, 2015 at 3:18:12 AM permalink
Quote: zuti6

Why would you recommend winaday when their video poker is a slot ? I actually checked their games with no deposit upon your recommendation and its a fun looking site but being gaffed how could i allow myself to deposit and expect +ev...

Because they give you FREE money and have low wagering requirements, you can over come the -EV on the games.

They CLAIM 98% slot paybacks as well
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
zuti6
zuti6
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November 26th, 2015 at 4:15:29 AM permalink
Would you deposit just a little(20$) and then use no deposit (FREE) money ? or do you still think depositing more is better?
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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November 26th, 2015 at 4:54:44 AM permalink
Quote: zuti6

Would you deposit just a little(20$) and then use no deposit (FREE) money ? or do you still think depositing more is better?

I'm not sure if they are doing a free $50 anymore ,but they almost always send free money on holidays and random email bonuses.

IIRC you can only use 2 free bonuses before you have to make a deposit. If you can get 2 freebies then afterwards use the 100% for whatever the max is($250?). do the 10x WR. Then you can probably get 2 more freebies.

I can't remember if they have 9/6 job, but lets assume they don't, assume the VP is -2% you're profit is $200. just from the 100% bonus.

I estimate you'll probably actually come out with +$75 if you grind nickel VP on the 100% bonus.






I think you get an extra $50 if you deposit $500 but not sure what of if they have WRs for that.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
zuti6
zuti6
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November 26th, 2015 at 5:04:20 AM permalink
I just got 10$ free ,not 50$ unfortunately for thanksgiving so maybe ,like all other sites, bonuses are getting even stingier .And it seems to say that only 1 free bonus so id have to deposit after first no deposit right now to get money from 2nd no deposit.And yeah they got 96.
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