chronoshep
chronoshep
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August 12th, 2014 at 1:49:26 PM permalink
Hello, just had a question for you guys. I use wizards video calculator to make the best possible plays, but i'm stuck on what to do during joker poker (kings or better) 52 hands at once. For example, if you get dealt 10(h)2(c)3(s)7(c)Q(s) should you discard all cards or keep the 10 in sequential position? The payout for the sequential is 5x that of a normal royal (4000) which is 20000. I see that discarding everything gives me a return rate of 0.329767 , while keeping the 10(h) gives me a expected return of 0.302236. However, this chart doesn't take into consideration the sequential royal draw payout, and i can't find anywhere to add it. What is the best play here? ( I'm using bovadas joker poker paytable )

If anyone can figure this out, can you also tell me if its a better play to keep both the offsuit ace and king, or just the king in sequential position using the same chart? A(s)2(c)3(d)K(h)7(d)

I'm new here and this is my first post, i hope it isn't too noobish :P. Thanks everyone
JB
Administrator
JB
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August 12th, 2014 at 2:00:34 PM permalink
Edit the paytable to use the weighted average of the sequential and regular payoff based on how many cards were held, before analyzing the hand:

1 card in position held = 4666.666... average RF payout (933.333... per coin)
2 cards in position held = 6666.666... average RF payout (1333.333... per coin)
3 cards in position held = 12000 average RF payout (2400 per coin)
tringlomane
tringlomane
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August 12th, 2014 at 2:09:16 PM permalink
One sequential card doesn't help expected values very much. The probability of completing the sequential royal holding one card is only 1 in 47*46*45*44 = 1 in 4,280,760 and the additional payout is 3200 more betting units (16000 coins more) vs. a regular royal. So the additional return of a single sequential royal card is:

3200/4280760 = 0.00074753

So it's pretty unlikely you ever sacrifice any higher standard play for just one sequential royal card.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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August 12th, 2014 at 2:24:07 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
tringlomane
tringlomane
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August 12th, 2014 at 2:32:55 PM permalink
Jeez, I totally missed that was sequential too!
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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August 12th, 2014 at 2:40:47 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
AxiomOfChoice
AxiomOfChoice
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August 12th, 2014 at 2:40:47 PM permalink
Since it hasn't been mentioned, I wanted to point out the fact that you are playing many hands at once doesn't change the correct play. Single-line, 3-play, 10-play, 50-play, 100-play, spin poker, whatever... the strategy is the same.
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