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JSTAT
JSTAT
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Joined: Feb 8, 2011
August 25th, 2016 at 8:05:45 PM permalink
I explain on Periscope how to win at the EZ Baccarat (and the regular mini/midi baccarat Player bet) Dragon 7 side bet which pays 40-1 counting cards using the JSTAT Count with the side counting of 8's/9's. The JSTAT Count strategy counts the 2-9's as +1 and the 10's and picture cards as -2 (the aces are not counted). An 8 or 9 comes out very 6.5 cards with eight of them in each deck. More 8/9's gone than normal with minus counts give us the card counting edge at Player bets at baccarat and the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet.

At the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet, it is impossible for a 3 card winning banker 7 with 8's,9's,10's, and picture cards. This is why we win with this strategy.

Casino reporter, enjoys blackjack/baccarat card counting, Bay Area poker pro, JSTAT@Casino_Examiner on Twitter
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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Joined: Oct 10, 2012
August 25th, 2016 at 8:14:43 PM permalink
Quote: JSTAT

I explain on Periscope how to win at the EZ Baccarat (and the regular mini/midi baccarat Player bet) Dragon 7 side bet which pays 40-1 counting cards using the JSTAT Count with the side counting of 8's/9's. The JSTAT Count strategy counts the 2-9's as +1 and the 10's and picture cards as -2 (the aces are not counted). An 8 or 9 comes out very 6.5 cards with eight of them in each deck. More 8/9's gone than normal with minus counts give us the card counting edge at Player bets at baccarat and the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet.

At the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet, it is impossible for a 3 card winning banker 7 with 8's,9's,10's, and picture cards. This is why we win with this strategy.

Why tell anyone?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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Joined: Oct 10, 2012
August 25th, 2016 at 8:14:43 PM permalink
Quote: JSTAT

I explain on Periscope how to win at the EZ Baccarat (and the regular mini/midi baccarat Player bet) Dragon 7 side bet which pays 40-1 counting cards using the JSTAT Count with the side counting of 8's/9's. The JSTAT Count strategy counts the 2-9's as +1 and the 10's and picture cards as -2 (the aces are not counted). An 8 or 9 comes out very 6.5 cards with eight of them in each deck. More 8/9's gone than normal with minus counts give us the card counting edge at Player bets at baccarat and the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet.

At the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet, it is impossible for a 3 card winning banker 7 with 8's,9's,10's, and picture cards. This is why we win with this strategy.

Why tell anyone?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
JSTAT
JSTAT
  • Threads: 6
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Joined: Feb 8, 2011
August 28th, 2016 at 11:59:36 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: JSTAT

I explain on Periscope how to win at the EZ Baccarat (and the regular mini/midi baccarat Player bet) Dragon 7 side bet which pays 40-1 counting cards using the JSTAT Count with the side counting of 8's/9's. The JSTAT Count strategy counts the 2-9's as +1 and the 10's and picture cards as -2 (the aces are not counted). An 8 or 9 comes out very 6.5 cards with eight of them in each deck. More 8/9's gone than normal with minus counts give us the card counting edge at Player bets at baccarat and the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet.

At the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet, it is impossible for a 3 card winning banker 7 with 8's,9's,10's, and picture cards. This is why we win with this strategy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zVvK1j7FcG0

Why tell anyone?


I wanted to see if my baccarat card count for the Player Bet and Dragon 7 passes scrutiny with the greatest minds in the casino world here on the Wizard's forum.
Casino reporter, enjoys blackjack/baccarat card counting, Bay Area poker pro, JSTAT@Casino_Examiner on Twitter
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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Joined: Jan 12, 2010
August 28th, 2016 at 12:59:40 PM permalink
Let's see the mathematics to back up these claims.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
gamerfreak
gamerfreak
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August 28th, 2016 at 1:00:56 PM permalink
I thought it was pretty well known that those side bets are countable. But if I recall, it's not all that profitable.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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Joined: Jan 12, 2010
August 28th, 2016 at 1:02:57 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Let's see the mathematics to back up these claims.


For the record, I'm not saying he's right or wrong. Only want to see proof.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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August 28th, 2016 at 1:45:34 PM permalink
The side bet is 10000 percent countable - I did it at a casino for a month straight with no heat until they lowered the max- at 200 max it's very profitable and under 50 it's worthless
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
JSTAT
JSTAT
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Joined: Feb 8, 2011
August 28th, 2016 at 2:05:04 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Let's see the mathematics to back up these claims.



Eliot Jacobson (Teliot) did a a card counting analysis of the EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 side bet that was published on the Wizard of Odds site in 2011 https://wizardofodds.com/games/baccarat/dragon-bet/. Using a linear count simulation, Jacobson concluded a shoe depleted of more eights and/or nines than normal provided an advantage for Dragon 7. I upped the ante by including the JSTAT Count (2-9=+1 and 10-K=-2) with a side counting of 8/9's and have been very successful playing in casinos. It only makes sense that a winning three card banker 7 cannot happen with a ten card along with the 8/9's as a third card in this non-linear count.

As an additional bonus, I discovered the JSTAT Count with the side counting (and the lack of) of 8/9's remaining in the shoe with minus counts works very well with Player Bets in conventional baccarat.
Last edited by: JSTAT on Aug 28, 2016
Casino reporter, enjoys blackjack/baccarat card counting, Bay Area poker pro, JSTAT@Casino_Examiner on Twitter
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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Joined: Jan 12, 2010
August 28th, 2016 at 2:10:27 PM permalink
You guys (counters of various games) work to hard!
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
supergrass
supergrass
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Joined: Apr 6, 2014
August 30th, 2016 at 6:56:30 AM permalink
Jstat, is your system based on your intuition or computer simulation? if by computer simulation can you tell us

average number of bets made each shoe
how the computer program decide when to make a bet and the bet size
average player edge
how much average win per shoe
how many shoes/rounds is the simulation

Eliot Jacobson lists all the above on his site apheat.net/2014/10/13/card-counting-the-dragonfortune-7-baccarat-side-bet/

If your system is based only on intuition and real life casino result, then your story is not convincing. There are wildly claimed winning system at any kind of casino games.
The thing about card counting system is: all reputable system can be backed up by computer simulation. If anyone doubts the simulation result, then he can develop his own simulation to verify the inventor's story.
JSTAT
JSTAT
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Joined: Feb 8, 2011
October 19th, 2016 at 11:03:51 AM permalink
Quote: supergrass

Jstat, is your system based on your intuition or computer simulation? if by computer simulation can you tell us

average number of bets made each shoe
how the computer program decide when to make a bet and the bet size
average player edge
how much average win per shoe
how many shoes/rounds is the simulation

Eliot Jacobson lists all the above on his site apheat.net/2014/10/13/card-counting-the-dragonfortune-7-baccarat-side-bet/

If your system is based only on intuition and real life casino result, then your story is not convincing. There are wildly claimed winning system at any kind of casino games.
The thing about card counting system is: all reputable system can be backed up by computer simulation. If anyone doubts the simulation result, then he can develop his own simulation to verify the inventor's story.



The link you provided for Eliot Jacobson's Dragon 7 article didn't work, so here it is https://apheat.net/2014/10/13/card-counting-the-dragonfortune-7-baccarat-side-bet/. Jacobson wrote in the AP Heat link, ""The key is that in order for the player to win this wager, the Banker hand has to draw a third card. This requirement trumps everything else. The cards that keep the Banker hand from drawing that third card most often are the 8 and the 9. As these cards are removed from the shoe, the edge moves quickly towards the counter’s favor...Intuitively, a shoe that is rich in the cards 4, 5, 6, 7 and poor in the cards 8, 9 will favor the counter." Jacobson also used computer simulation for the Dragon 7 side bet.

I used Jacobson's premise to enhance my baccarat count and have been very successful playing in real life casinos. A deck particularly poor of 8's/9's and ten value cards diminish the power of the third card rule favoring the Banker side. Because any 8 or 9 and ten card value as third card determine many times the standing Banker action where the Banker takes the most of its advantage. Moreover whenever a deck is poor of 8's,9's and 10's frequently, it means that more small-medium cards are available to catch for Player side as third card. Obviously the (slight) main effect favoring the Player side is due to the second issue, along with the fact the Player bets are paid 1.1 and not 0.95:1

My recent video adds some more baccarat tips https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO0Jf5tdITQ
Last edited by: JSTAT on Oct 19, 2016
Casino reporter, enjoys blackjack/baccarat card counting, Bay Area poker pro, JSTAT@Casino_Examiner on Twitter
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