How Many TD + FG + Safety in Super Bowl XLVI?

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Poll

	4 or less		No votes (0%)
	5 or 6		1 vote (11.11%)
	7 or 8		1 vote (11.11%)
	9 or 10		3 votes (33.33%)
	11 or 12		2 votes (22.22%)
	13 or more		2 votes (22.22%)

9 members have voted

January 29th, 2012 at 11:15:36 AM permalink

thecesspit

Member since: Apr 19, 2010
Threads: 38
Posts: 3105

Quote: Wizard
Total field goals = 3.262
Total touchdowns = 6.401
Total safeties = 0.0566
Total scores = 9.7196

I should be looking for around 18-1 odds on a safety then... hmmm. Bodog are only offering +650 (7.5). The no safety is at 1.08, so only a 2% edge there (unless I screwed that numbers up)...

I like betting on safeties and odd totals in the first half.

"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept through nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire, for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829

January 29th, 2012 at 11:42:50 AM permalink
Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 310 Posts: 6735	Quote: thecesspit I like betting on safeties and odd totals in the first half. Those are both very bad bets. I show the fair line on a safety this game to be +1727. The day of the game it should be easy to find -1000 on the NO here in Vegas. It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.

January 29th, 2012 at 1:01:07 PM permalink

98Clubs

Member since: Jun 3, 2010
Threads: 9
Posts: 282

I voted 11-12 myself. and 55 points is the O/U with a minimum of 8 to go over, and 9 to make 54.
G-men Offensive line might get tired out by 4thQ, and the D-line might play to block lanes rather than "rush", and the Gronk effect. I'm tempted to take the over on the FG prop.

WIZ... were those figures SB stats or Reg season stats? Thanks in Advance.

GL n GG all

To err is human. To air is Jordan. To arrr is Pirate.

January 30th, 2012 at 4:51:14 PM permalink
Wizard Administrator Member since: Oct 14, 2009 Threads: 310 Posts: 6735	Quote: 98Clubs WIZ... were those figures SB stats or Reg season stats? Thanks in Advance. Those were specifically for this game. The average game would have about two less touchdowns. It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.

January 31st, 2012 at 12:42:26 PM permalink
Ayecarumba Member since: Nov 17, 2009 Threads: 113 Posts: 2025	Quote: 98Clubs Sorry, I pushed the wrong button :sigh: will try again... could not delete posted mistake. Guess the total number of scores in Super Bowl 46. Extra-points, and 2-point conversions do not count. I see I cannot lock the poll at a certain time, so it will be 18:00 EST Feb. 5, 2012. I going with 11-12. Field goals are up this year.

February 5th, 2012 at 7:09:10 PM permalink
98Clubs Member since: Jun 3, 2010 Threads: 9 Posts: 282	Final answer is 8 scores. Congrats to the G-men. To err is human. To air is Jordan. To arrr is Pirate.

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