Bookie question

I'm a bookie. One of my new customers is 49-13-1 betting football this season. That's over 73%. I've paid the guy thousands so far. Is this "streak" likely to continue? I've never cut anyone off before.

Also, I know many of the games (about half) he will bet prior to him calling and I shade the lines 1/2 point against him.

If you are shading the line 1/2 point and don't take his action, you are, there is no other way to say it, just plain STUPID.
Or if superstitious lay his bets off with the line. I assume you are not giving him a nickle line !

I agree, it would be STUPID to stop taking his action and seriously doubt I would ever lay anything off. But I've never had a player win such a high percentage (73% playing 60+ games). Is this guy very lucky? or good?

Here is how lucky a bettor can be :In the 1950's a friend started booking football sheets. You know circle x number of winners. Circle 15 winners against the spread, ties lose. 15 winners pays 1000 to 1 , 14 of 15 pays 100 to 1. Something in neighborhood of 30, 000 to 1 against. Mostly 1 dollar chumps circling 4 or 5 teams, My friend is in Brig bar, owned by Blaze Starr's husband, and a drunk circles the same 15 games on 3 sheets, 1 for him, his date, and the barmaid. At $10 a pop. Need I finish the story? My friend had to get a second on his house . But still made a profit, small indeed, for the season.

Instead of posting here, most bookies would be moaning and groaning and letting his other fish how this guy was KILLING me. Nothing like winners to draw the suckers . LOL

Correction- his record is 49-18 73% (not 49-13) sorry.

Quote: MakingBook

One of my new customers is ... .

Doesn't every bookie get beat by a new customer for six weeks?

Ignoring the half point issue, and the one tie, the odds of going 49-13 are 1 in 2,494. Could happen to anybody. I say keep taking his action, especially getting the extra half point for yourself.