VCU @ 5000:1

Apparently the LVH has a $10 ticket out for VCU to win the national championship at 5000:1. That would pay $50,000 should VCU win.

*IF* you held the ticket, what is the minimum you would you accept in trade at this point? (final 4 beginning tomorrow)

I ended out saying 25-49.9k - but the answer depends. I answered the question as if VCU were "my" team. If it was literally me, someone who doesn't care at all but VCU but thought it was a good bet, then I'd say closer to 5k.

I think 10k would do it for me. They will have trouble with Butler.

While not exactly the same thing, this question pretty much describes the gist of derivative markets, speculation, futures, etc.

Nice!

FWIW, I voted $1-$499. No way VCU wins it all.

Quote: ItsCalledSoccer

While not exactly the same thing, this question pretty much describes the gist of derivative markets, speculation, futures, etc.

Nice!

FWIW, I voted $1-$499. No way VCU wins it all.

Do you believe it enough to put up $5k against my $1?

Quote: Ayecarumba

Do you believe it enough to put up $5k against my $1?

Wow ... great question.

But the answer is no for the bizarro playing-the-lottery reason. Meaning, I play the lottery even thought it's crappy EV because the big win is so enticing. So the bizarro reason is, even though I would almost certainly win your $1, the downside is so vile that I don't want to risk it.

But here's something I will do. Winner puts the following in his signature line:

"I am clearly more stupid than any man, and I do not have the sense of a man. ICS (or Ayecarumba) is clearly the most intuitive, wise, and accurate sports bettor in history, and my analysis should be used only for wiping other unworthy asses."

Odds: if you win, it's on my sig line for 5,000 weeks. If I win, it's on your sig line for 1 week.

Bet?

EDIT: I meant, loser puts that in his sig line.

Quote: waltomeal

$10 ticket out for VCU to win the national championship

Virginia Central University?
Vilanova Cougars United?
Valley Central University.

Quote: FleaStiff

Virginia Central University?
Vilanova Cougars United?
Valley Central University.

Virginia Commonwealth University.

Butler barely got past another Virginia school (ODU, or Old Dominion University for the acronym-challenged among us) in the first round, but it's easy to look past an ODU. Once you hit the Final Four you bring your game. And Butler was there last year.

This is like Deal Or No Deal! I'm a gambler and I'd hold the ticket. It only cost 10 bucks.

Quote: ItsCalledSoccer

Wow ... great question.

But the answer is no for the bizarro playing-the-lottery reason. Meaning, I play the lottery even thought it's crappy EV because the big win is so enticing. So the bizarro reason is, even though I would almost certainly win your $1, the downside is so vile that I don't want to risk it.

But here's something I will do. Winner puts the following in his signature line:

"I am clearly more stupid than any man, and I do not have the sense of a man. ICS (or Ayecarumba) is clearly the most intuitive, wise, and accurate sports bettor in history, and my analysis should be used only for wiping other unworthy asses."

Odds: if you win, it's on my sig line for 5,000 weeks. If I win, it's on your sig line for 1 week.

Bet?

EDIT: I meant, loser puts that in his sig line.

As tempting as it sounds, having your signature line tout my superiority for 96 years is not that appealing, (especially when you just quit the board a few weeks ago.) Also, avargov's pennance still cracks me up.

How about this, I will put up my one week with the "scarlet signature of shame" against your promise to do your best to befriend MKL if he ever returns?

Quote: Ayecarumba

As tempting as it sounds, having your signature line tout my superiority for 96 years is not that appealing, (especially when you just quit the board a few weeks ago.) Also, avargov's pennance still cracks me up.

How about this, I will put up my one week with the "scarlet signature of shame" against your promise to do your best to befriend MKL if he ever returns?

Looks like an interesting proposition. Mr. mkl will return because that is what it appears he does, and someone like that who seems to have only this forum as a source of entertainment will humble himself to the bowels of humanity in 2 week's time. He has no ability at all to absorb hurt and take the high road, and his propensity to go postal is only surpassed by his inability to voluntarily follow through on what he says, no matter how embarrassing or degrading. It is because of this trait that I believe he keeps coming back for more and more punishment. He likes it!