JoelDeze
JoelDeze
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
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March 12th, 2017 at 8:40:20 PM permalink
Bracket 8: This is the final bracket but it does not have a 40-game qualifier. (+7 ATS) (71.4% win pct)

GamesWins on System FavoriteLosses on System FavoritePushes on System FavoriteWin Pct
2215610.714285714


12015CharlotteGeorgia St.725023 - 20yes31
32015San Jose St.Oregon St.723035 - 21no140
32015Ole MissAlabama725043 - 37yes61
72015SyracuseVirginia723044 - 38no61
72015Kent St.Massachusetts724015 - 10yes51
72015FloridaLSU724035 - 28no7push
82015Kansas St.Texas724023 - 9no140
162015Air ForceCalifornia722055 - 36no190
162015TCUOregon724047 - 41yes61
162015HoustonFlorida St.723038 - 24yes141
22016IllinoisNorth Carolina723548 - 23no250
32016Michigan St.Notre Dame725036 - 28yes81
42016GeorgiaOle Miss724045 - 14no310
42016BYUWest Virginia725035 - 32no31
42016North TexasRice724042 - 35yes71
42016Wake ForestIndiana725033 - 28yes51
82016TempleSouth Fla.722046 - 30yes161
92016UConnEast Carolina723041 - 3no380
92016Army West PointWake Forest724021 - 13yes81
102016NavyNotre Dame723028 - 27yes11
112016SMUEast Carolina724055 - 31yes241
162016NavyLouisiana Tech722048 - 45no31


The remainder +ATS nets a rough 52% which is not advantageous enough to post.
“Know where to find information and how to use it; that is the secret of success.” – Albert Einstein
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
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March 12th, 2017 at 8:47:21 PM permalink
Totals:

63.6% was the final from the combined ATS brackets. The inconsistency in the first posting was that my first snapshot was from development data and not from production data and I had not accounted for all games played in that DB. I have not gone through the data to determine any type of additional filtering. So, I do believe this can be improved.

Final is (324 - 185, 14 pushes) (63.6% win pct)

BracketGamesWinsLossesPushesWin Pct
147341210.739130435
244261530.634146341
395573710.606382979
4101633800.623762376
543281320.682926829
6113654350.601851852
758362110.631578947
82215610.714285714
Totals523324185140.63654224
“Know where to find information and how to use it; that is the secret of success.” – Albert Einstein
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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March 14th, 2017 at 10:48:47 AM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Totals:

63.6% was the final from the combined ATS brackets. The inconsistency in the first posting was that my first snapshot was from development data and not from production data and I had not accounted for all games played in that DB. I have not gone through the data to determine any type of additional filtering. So, I do believe this can be improved.

Final is (324 - 185, 14 pushes) (63.6% win pct)

BracketGamesWinsLossesPushesWin Pct
147341210.739130435
244261530.634146341
395573710.606382979
4101633800.623762376
543281320.682926829
6113654350.601851852
758362110.631578947
82215610.714285714
Totals523324185140.63654224



Are you saying now that you WERE NOT 417-125, but rather 324-185? My brain hurts trying to go through all the charts....
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
  • Threads: 40
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March 21st, 2017 at 4:06:34 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


Are you saying now that you WERE NOT 417-125, but rather 324-185? My brain hurts trying to go through all the charts....



I'm saying that after researching and looking at all of the ATS data over the last 2 years that the charts above represent any advantage within each ATS bracket. The totals are the combined results for that research data. Read through the data and determine whether it has any value to you.

That is not my overall record. My overall win pct is barely above 52%. But, I've only been diving into ATS picks over the last two seasons.

I primarily just provide research. My research data over many years was built to provide high probability value for which team would win the outcome of a game. It was never designed to measure ATS. But, like insurance principles, everyone has a risk appetite and so some people like higher value on returns at the cost of more risk. Therefore, I am working more on ATS research data and profiling.

I hope that answers your question.
“Know where to find information and how to use it; that is the secret of success.” – Albert Einstein
WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
Joined: May 20, 2011
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March 21st, 2017 at 8:27:36 AM permalink
JD, Unless you are posting your picks prior to the games starting, you will not convert anyone here. Anyone can post whatever they want post games played where the results are as you wish them to be. If you have done this somewhere in this forum/thread, then my apologies for not reading all the mumbo jumbo.

Look at what Rising Dough are Steeldco are doing... they are posting their picks prior to game starting. These are the only picks I will pay attention to or give merit to.

btw, I went 19-1 the past two weeks in hoops. See what Im sayin?
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
  • Threads: 40
  • Posts: 320
March 21st, 2017 at 9:00:38 AM permalink
Quote: WatchMeWin

JD, Unless you are posting your picks prior to the games starting, you will not convert anyone here. Anyone can post whatever they want post games played where the results are as you wish them to be. If you have done this somewhere in this forum/thread, then my apologies for not reading all the mumbo jumbo.

Look at what Rising Dough are Steeldco are doing... they are posting their picks prior to game starting. These are the only picks I will pay attention to or give merit to.

btw, I went 19-1 the past two weeks in hoops. See what Im sayin?



I'm not trying to convert anyone and I don't want to be viewed as a tout going forward. The data I posted is for informational purposes only. If you find the data useful then great.

My goal is finding discovery data that may provide an advantage. My sole concentration is on football.
“Know where to find information and how to use it; that is the secret of success.” – Albert Einstein
WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
Joined: May 20, 2011
  • Threads: 43
  • Posts: 572
March 21st, 2017 at 9:54:21 AM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

I'm not trying to convert anyone and I don't want to be viewed as a tout going forward. The data I posted is for informational purposes only. If you find the data useful then great.

My goal is finding discovery data that may provide an advantage. My sole concentration is on football.



Are you in the handicapping or sports picking business?
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'

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