Is this guy who is selling picks legit?
The answer is almost certainly, no. The only long term, real winner who sells picks that I know of is Right Angle Sports. Their fees are very high and when they release their picks, you have only seconds to make your bet before the line moves.
So the first question is, if tout X is also a winner, why are neither of these things the case with him?
Here is a deep takedown of RJ Bell and all the touts associated with pregame. http://deadspin.com/how-america-s-favorite-sports-betting-expert-turned-a-s-1782438574
"Bell loves to say that every pick ever sold on Pregame is archived and available for review. This is ostensibly true, but to access results older than 30 days requires clicking through a calendar, day by day, and entering CAPTCHA codes for each one. Before long you find yourself in an infinite CAPTCHA loop, unable to continue, blocked from any attempts to tabulate the hard evidence.
Until now. Two real-world bettors, one of whom is a former financial analyst in his late 20s who is highly regarded by oddsmakers, developed a script to scrape Pregame.com URLs for daily selections and results going back to Jan. 1 2011, and their findings speak for themselves.
Based on Pregame’s own record-keeping—which leans kindly toward its touts—all of the picks sold from Jan. 1, 2011 through the end of May 2016 add up to a loss of nearly $310,000."
Also, I thought this was funny.
There are degrees. Some touts set out to be con artists from day one. Others might work pretty hard on their picks, but just can't beat widely available lines.
There are people who give away free picks, or commentary, who are pretty legitimate. But even that is hard to do.