Boz
Boz
Joined: Sep 22, 2011
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December 27th, 2016 at 1:40:09 PM permalink
OK, I made it 16 weeks with 1 to go in a pool. Started with 2605 people at $20 per with a house edge of 50%. So the prize pool is $26500 and there are 45 people left with me being one of them. Here are the teams I have taken and without getting into who has what left, I wanted thoughts on the games with my options. Split is $588 per person at this point and most people don't have the top options left. I am thinking the Colts over Jacksonville as my best option but open to other thoughts.

Here are my picks by week:

MIN, CAR,SEA,CIN,PIT,TEN,GB,NE,KC,BAL,DET,BUF,DEN,AT,HOU,DAL

Thanks! Boz
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:13:41 PM permalink
Redskins are eight point favorites, biggest number among all teams you have not yet picked
Boz
Boz
Joined: Sep 22, 2011
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:21:07 PM permalink
Quote: TomG

Redskins are eight point favorites, biggest number among all teams you have not yet picked



Yea, that is a consideration. Trying to figure out who cares and who doesn't. Of course all NFL Gambling is based in part on that but week 17 is even more so.
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:25:12 PM permalink
I would take the largest favorite and then also bet the money line on the underdog to guarantee a win.

Btw, why is the vig so huge.
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:32:25 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

why is the vig so huge.



Two reasons: supply and demand
Boz
Boz
Joined: Sep 22, 2011
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:36:18 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

I would take the largest favorite and then also bet the money line on the underdog to guarantee a win.

Btw, why is the vig so huge.



So called "charity"

Played as a donation but now I want my share.
SM777
SM777
Joined: Apr 8, 2016
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:52:37 PM permalink
Why is there any consideration over taking anyone but the Redskins?

Week 17, you have an 8 point favorite left on the board. Why are you considering a 4.5 point favorite?

Sure, it's possible the Redskins lose and Colts win, but if you're playing this properly, Redskins is an easy choice. Nothing to discuss.
Boz
Boz
Joined: Sep 22, 2011
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:54:42 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Why is there any consideration over taking anyone but the Redskins?

Week 17, you have an 8 point favorite left on the board. Why are you considering a 4.5 point favorite?

Sure, it's possible the Redskins lose and Colts win, but if you're playing this properly, Redskins is an easy choice. Nothing to discuss.



Thanks for the clarity. Exactly why I posted this.
SM777
SM777
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December 27th, 2016 at 2:56:17 PM permalink
Quote: Boz

Thanks for the clarity. Exactly why I posted this.



Collect that money my friend.

I can safely assume not everyone has the Redskins left, so they'll win, and you'll get a much nicer share that being split 45 ways.
Boz
Boz
Joined: Sep 22, 2011
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December 27th, 2016 at 3:09:51 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Collect that money my friend.

I can safely assume not everyone has the Redskins left, so they'll win, and you'll get a much nicer share that being split 45 ways.



Looked and Giants are +325 so I am going to see how many have Washington left and may put $100 on Giants to guarantee a win.

Thanks again.

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