rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
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September 2nd, 2010 at 9:43:53 AM permalink
+/- .5 especially around 3, 7, 10, and 14.
Wizard
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Wizard
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September 2nd, 2010 at 10:41:57 AM permalink
I've been meaning to analyze that. I recently did just that for buying a half point off the total in baseball.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
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Wizard
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September 2nd, 2010 at 3:55:25 PM permalink
Okay, I spent all day on this, not on college football, but the NFL. Please have a look at my fair prices for buying a half point in the NFL. I'd be interested in your comments. I may work on college next.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
mkl654321
mkl654321
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September 2nd, 2010 at 4:34:06 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

If they are based on the OVERALL frequency of a given spread number or a given posted total, then they wouldn't have that much meaning.



Of course I thought of that. Give me a little credit. It is rather involved to explain the details.
The fact that a believer is happier than a skeptic is no more to the point than the fact that a drunken man is happier than a sober one. The happiness of credulity is a cheap and dangerous quality.---George Bernard Shaw
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
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September 2nd, 2010 at 5:56:26 PM permalink
nice work. its good to know now how huge the 3 is when looking at lines changing. im googling some stuff and it seems commonplace that most places wont let you buy onto the 3 but some places will let you buy onto the 7 so thats good to know. or if there are any online sites that charge less for buying points, maybe you can buy onto the 10. as for college football, my guess is a half point wont be worth nearly as much in college as it is in the NFL. maybe 3 points will be worth 15 and 7 pts will be worth 8.
mkl654321
mkl654321
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September 2nd, 2010 at 5:59:55 PM permalink
Quote: mkl654321

Of course I thought of that. Give me a little credit. It is rather involved to explain the details.



OK, OK, but why get so peeved that you delete my post? I acknowledge your expertise (bowing low enough that forehead touches floor).

Neither the numbers themselves nor the attendant explanation gave any indication that this nuance had been taken into account.
The fact that a believer is happier than a skeptic is no more to the point than the fact that a drunken man is happier than a sober one. The happiness of credulity is a cheap and dangerous quality.---George Bernard Shaw
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