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GWAE
GWAE
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May 4th, 2016 at 6:53:42 PM permalink
UT oh
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 5:55:37 AM permalink
Yesterday just sucked all the way around.....at least, despite yesterday's massacre, I'm still well ahead.

05/05/16 Results:
 Pirates -100
 Braves -700
 Brewers -100
 Royals -700
 Athletics -100
 Padres -105
 Tigers -700
 Diamondbacks -700
 Dodgers -700

Yesterday's results: -3,905
+130dogs -3,500
Other dogs -300
Favorites -105
Focus Picks 0

YTD Total +14,852
+130dogs +3,661 <-----They ROCK! THE BEST MLB money line system anywhere!
Other dogs +1,638
Favorites +1,160
Focus Picks +8,393 <-----They ROCK! THE BEST MLB money line system anywhere!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:01:09 AM permalink
Yo beachmonkey, I had a thought......since you're wagering a minimal amount on perfect rounds (round robins) maybe you should consider taking the opposite of these picks in addition to simply taking the picks? It sure seems like I have a couple days in the season that are 0 for everything.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:16:20 AM permalink
5/05
Ouch!
I don't understand your system, I'm not a sports bettor.
But been fun to watch.
Been watching your focus pick totals slowly approach the 130 dogs....
Then Swooosh.....
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:23:27 AM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

5/05
Ouch!
I don't understand your system, I'm not a sports bettor.
But been fun to watch.
Been watching your focus pick totals slowly approach the 130 dogs....
Then Swooosh.....



Yep....a couple of monsterously bad days per season happen. Sucks!!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:24:39 AM permalink
05/05/16 Picks:
 Diamondbacks 125
 Brewers EV
 Nationals 145 7X's
 Mariners 102
 Red Sox -104
 Padres 170 7X's
 Rockies 118
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:29:55 AM permalink
I find the following stats interesting:

The Total picks have had 20 winning days out of 29, 69% winning days.
The +130dogs have had 17 winning days out of 26, 65.4% winning days.
The Other Dogs have had 18 winning days out of 27, 66.7% winning days.
Favorites have had 15 winning days out of 19, 78.9% winning days.
Focus Picks have had 14 winning days out of 19, 73.7% winning days.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:33:17 AM permalink
I should have warned about betting for, or against, The Braves.
They have a history of being just plain obnoxious ;-)
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:41:43 AM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

I should have warned about betting for, or against, The Braves.
They have a history of being just plain obnoxious ;-)



There have been 19 different teams picked as +130dogs this year so far. 6 of them are net losers as of today. The worst team picked is the Reds. Tied for 2nd. worst are the Braves.............
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beachmonkey
beachmonkey
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May 5th, 2016 at 7:06:20 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Yo beachmonkey, I had a thought......since you're wagering a minimal amount on perfect rounds (round robins) maybe you should consider taking the opposite of these picks in addition to simply taking the picks? It sure seems like I have a couple days in the season that are 0 for everything.


Yes that is a system/ method l use on many occasions. I also use just 120+ combo, 7x only combo, Focus + 120+, and 7x as well as all selections . You have not hit a run of outs yet like last year,after day 4 loss, l bet day 5 mostly anti bet, as well as cover your selection bet. I use that with my own selections on the NRL here in Australia. ie I have run of loss maybe 3/4 weeks. On the 5th week selection , I make my selection as I would do normally , then I would bet against the selection I had just made. It works mainly because I dont need to be correct all the time, emotionally or cash wise. ie Im in for the long haul, I dont fret if I dont win today because I know I will win in the long run.
I also didnt know how to broach this subject with you as a betting strategy, some get angry, re betting against the shooter in dice / craps, but glade you bought subject up. As I said in a previous post here I dont let my own emotion or bias re my favourite team stop me betting for or against them at any time, Make the bet and watch the game and enjoy the game, then enjoy the cash at the end, sometimes no joy. Ha HA
So far this year I have mini 3/4/5/&6 winning rounds already. no 7or 8 +yet.! So thanks again, looking forward to next selections,
beachmonkey
beachmonkey
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May 5th, 2016 at 7:13:05 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I find the following stats interesting:

The Total picks have had 20 winning days out of 29, 69% winning days.
The +130dogs have had 17 winning days out of 26, 65.4% winning days.
The Other Dogs have had 18 winning days out of 27, 66.7% winning days.
Favorites have had 15 winning days out of 19, 78.9% winning days.
Focus Picks have had 14 winning days out of 19, 73.7% winning days.


What are we worried about here? The info above says it all. No one is 100% correct.
65% is lowest result out of 26 days. some would cut there left nut out for results like that.
BTLWI
BTLWI
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May 5th, 2016 at 8:57:45 AM permalink
I certainly wish I was in from the beginning of the season.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 9:08:53 AM permalink
Quote: BTLWI

I certainly wish I was in from the beginning of the season.


I understand. It can be difficult to just jump in.
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mustangsally
mustangsally
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May 5th, 2016 at 10:16:35 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I find the following stats interesting:

The Total picks have had 20 winning days out of 29, 69% winning days.
The +130dogs have had 17 winning days out of 26, 65.4% winning days.
The Other Dogs have had 18 winning days out of 27, 66.7% winning days.
Favorites have had 15 winning days out of 19, 78.9% winning days.
Focus Picks have had 14 winning days out of 19, 73.7% winning days.

i show for the 29 days into the season
you have bet 222 games and won 122 (lost 100) for 54.95% win rate

this includes all the games that completed

i also have the 130+ games bet at 75 and you have won 32 = 42.67%

but it is fun to watch!!
I Heart Vi Hart
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 10:24:09 AM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

i show for the 29 days into the season
you have bet 222 games and won 122 (lost 100) for 54.95% win rate

this includes all the games that completed

i also have the 130+ games bet at 75 and you have won 32 = 42.67%

but it is fun to watch!!



Actually, the +130dogs have had a total of 71 picks, while winning 30 for a win rate of 42.25%. Also, you seem to like to leave out a very important factor. That is that the +130dogs that win return 154.51 per 100 wagered. So if you want to look at realistic returns then the math is 42.25% X 154.51 = 65.11%.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 5th, 2016 at 10:24:55 AM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

i show for the 29 days into the season
you have bet 222 games and won 122 (lost 100) for 54.95% win rate

this includes all the games that completed

i also have the 130+ games bet at 75 and you have won 32 = 42.67%

but it is fun to watch!!



Also, I was referencing winning "days" in my post that you were replying to.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
DrawingDead
DrawingDead
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May 5th, 2016 at 1:42:28 PM permalink
I believe ROI (Return On Investment) is generally accepted as the most appropriate metric for this kind of wagering with moneyline bets, and the one I prefer to track & use. Others apart from that can sometimes be interesting for some things, such as win % as an indication of variance (or even winning vs. losing 'days' as an indication of the size of someone's bar tab and antacid consumption throughout a 162 game season). But I think ROI fundamentally gets to what the real point of it is.

Of course with moneyline/odds bets one could 'win most' of them and lose a fortune. Or 'lose most of the time' and get a lot richer doing it. It depends. On ROI. This is a very healthy looking ROI at this early point this season.

There are some things that have been unusual in MLB so far, only a month into the season. Things such as the size and frequency of really big (for baseball) dog-favorite spreads, and home-away records. But it is very early days yet.
Suck dope, watch TV, make up stuff, be somebody on the internet.
beachmonkey
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May 5th, 2016 at 6:29:06 PM permalink
Quote: BTLWI

I certainly wish I was in from the beginning of the season.


Better late than never. Still a long way to go yet, money to be made .
steeldco
steeldco
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May 6th, 2016 at 6:22:34 AM permalink
05/06/16 Results:
 Diamondbacks -100
 Brewers -100
 Nationals -700
 Mariners +102
 Red Sox +100
 Padres +1190
 Rockies +118

Yesterday's results: +610
+130dogs +490
Other dogs +20
Favorites +100
Focus Picks 0

YTD Total +15,462
+130dogs +4,151 <-----They ROCK! THE BEST MLB money line system anywhere!
Other dogs +1,658
Favorites +1,260
Focus Picks +8,393 <-----They ROCK! THE BEST MLB money line system anywhere!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 6th, 2016 at 6:42:35 AM permalink
05/06/16 Picks:
 Athletics -105
 Red Sox 107
 Dodgers 132 7X's
 Phillies 119
 Reds -130 FOCUS 7X's
 Royals 125
 Twins 118
 Astros -101 FOCUS 7X's
 Rockies 188 7X's
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 7th, 2016 at 7:42:41 AM permalink
05/06/16 Results:
 Athletics 0
 Red Sox -100
 Dodgers -700
 Phillies -100
 Reds +700
 Royals -100
 Twins -100
 Astros +700
 Rockies -700

Yesterday's results: -400
+130dogs -1,400
Other dogs -400
Favorites 0
Focus Picks +1,400

YTD Total +15,062
+130dogs +2,751 <-----They ROCK! THE BEST MLB money line system anywhere!
Other dogs +1,258
Favorites +1,260
Focus Picks +9,793 <-----They ROCK! THE BEST MLB money line system anywhere!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
GWAE
GWAE
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May 7th, 2016 at 7:53:28 AM permalink
Your 130 are getting closer to even. Are you going to back off the 7X's at all? M
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steeldco
steeldco
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May 7th, 2016 at 7:56:00 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Your 130 are getting closer to even. Are you going to back off the 7X's at all? M


Not yet. Sticking to plan. Somewhere around mid-June.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 7th, 2016 at 8:05:59 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Your 130 are getting closer to even. Are you going to back off the 7X's at all? M


BTW, I just looked at last year's results. And I don't know how probable this will be, but I suspect that we're going to be seeing a 5 day winning streak shortly.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 7th, 2016 at 8:15:07 AM permalink
05/07/16 Picks:
 Yankees 120
 Dodgers -160
 Tigers 117
 Royals -103
 Phillies 109
 Diamondbacks 106
 Mariners 132 7X's
 White Sox -210
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 8th, 2016 at 4:59:06 AM permalink
05/07/16 Results ( I think I can live with 7 and 1.....):
 Yankees +120
 Dodgers +100
 Tigers -100
 Royals +100
 Phillies +109
 Diamondbacks +106
 Mariners +924
 White Sox +100

Yesterday's results: +1,459
+130dogs +924
Other dogs +235
Favorites +300
Focus Picks 0

YTD Total 16,521
+130dogs 3,675
Other dogs 1,493
Favorites 1,560
Focus Picks 9,793
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
GWAE
GWAE
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May 8th, 2016 at 5:26:59 AM permalink
Would have been nice if they were all 7xs. I made a parlay with your picks so them damn tigers screwed me. 2nd time in a week detroit has cost me a ton of money.
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steeldco
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May 8th, 2016 at 5:31:51 AM permalink
Like I've said before, the Tigers were screwed once they signed Verlander to that ridiculous contract. They then compounded that screw up by letting Scherzer go. Just plain old stupid.
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steeldco
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May 8th, 2016 at 5:40:09 AM permalink
05/08/16 Picks:
 Marlins -105
 Brewers 119
 Rangers 126
 Royals 116
 Braves 134 7X's
 Athletics 140 7X's
 Mariners -104
 Twins 180 7X's
 Pirates 116
 Nationals 200 7X's
 Giants -185
 Padres 136 7X's
 Yankees -105
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GWAE
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May 8th, 2016 at 5:49:27 AM permalink
Wholly picks batman, good luck today.

At $100 a unit that is like $4200
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steeldco
steeldco
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May 8th, 2016 at 5:51:17 AM permalink
Kind of a bit too many, but it is what it is. Thanks.
Just stickin' to the plan Stan..................
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beachmonkey
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May 8th, 2016 at 7:00:20 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Kind of a bit too many, but it is what it is. Thanks.
Just stickin' to the plan Stan..................


thanks , got the 7/8 flat bet, just missed 8leg but did get a 4 leg@$26.20 a unit, also 4 x 3 legs, all a mixed bag came in . many thanks
beachmonkey
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May 8th, 2016 at 7:11:19 AM permalink
will do a 5 leg on the 7s, also an anti 5 leg on 7s today as well. will do a 10 leg leave out the -105,-104,-185... will also do 8 leg. no 7s in 8 leg bet. flat bet all selections. just stay on the bus Gus. ha ha
steeldco
steeldco
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May 8th, 2016 at 9:25:07 AM permalink
Quote: beachmonkey

will do a 5 leg on the 7s, also an anti 5 leg on 7s today as well. will do a 10 leg leave out the -105,-104,-185... will also do 8 leg. no 7s in 8 leg bet. flat bet all selections. just stay on the bus Gus. ha ha



Ha. Ha. "The answer is easy if you take it logically
I'd like to help you in your struggle to be free"
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GWAE
GWAE
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May 8th, 2016 at 2:30:58 PM permalink
Gonna be one of those sundays. Beach may be good on the no's
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beachmonkey
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May 8th, 2016 at 11:50:06 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Ha. Ha. "The answer is easy if you take it logically
I'd like to help you in your struggle to be free"


but you are helping me to be free, thanks to your selection method. thanks have a good day,
beachmonkey
beachmonkey
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May 8th, 2016 at 11:52:47 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Gonna be one of those sundays. Beach may be good on the no's


Oh... is it mothers day there as well? ha ha
beachmonkey
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May 9th, 2016 at 12:48:23 AM permalink
Thanks, the anti [7], 5 leg got in @ $10.05 per unit. Thanks ,day is not a total loss, the true 7 , 5 leg could have come in @ $94.56 per unit. thats the aim ,it would have been nice... How many more days left in season? Answer ... plenty,..... more than plenty, enough to get a couple of these big returns in. ha ha. thats for sure, in the between time ,we keep these mini wins and it allows the season betting bank to remain healthy. Thanks once again.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 9th, 2016 at 6:41:39 AM permalink
Needed Washington terribly yesterday.........however, I'm as old as dirt and I think that the Chicago Cubs may be the best baseball team ever. Maybe better than the Yankees' murderers' row.
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TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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May 9th, 2016 at 7:30:39 AM permalink
Now you are beginning to scare me ;-)
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
steeldco
steeldco
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May 9th, 2016 at 9:43:28 AM permalink
The 1939 Yankees had a run differential of 441 for the year. They outscored their opponents by a phenomenal 441 runs.
The 2016 Chicago Cubs? They're on pace for a 581 run differential. The Cubs seem to club the opposition's pitching staff like no other in history. Just take a look a the stats and how many starting pitchers against the Cubs, irrespective how great the pitcher is, are getting to 100 pitches by the time that the 5th. inning is over. They are making the opposition throw and throw. They take a lot of balls and therefore it looks like after the 1st. game of a series, they have already gone deep into an opponent's bullpen. Decimation of the opposing pitching staff.......unreal.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 9th, 2016 at 10:40:36 AM permalink
05/09/16's Inglorious Results:
 Marlins -105
 Brewers +119
 Rangers +126
 Royals -100
 Braves -700
 Athletics -700
 Mariners -104
 Twins -700
 Pirates +116
 Nationals -700
 Giants -185
 Padres -700
 Yankees -105

Yesterday's results: -3,738
+130dogs -3,500
Other dogs +261
Favorites -499
Focus Picks 0

YTD Total +12,783
+130dogs +175
Other dogs +1,754
Favorites +1,061
Focus Picks +9,793
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 9th, 2016 at 10:59:14 AM permalink
05/09/16 Picks:
 Royals 108
 Nationals -181
 Reds 105
 Athletics 122
 White Sox 110
 Astros -102
 Diamondbacks 132 7X's
 Rays 116 FOCUS 7X's
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 9th, 2016 at 2:22:45 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

The 1939 Yankees had a run differential of 441 for the year. They outscored their opponents by a phenomenal 441 runs.
The 2016 Chicago Cubs? They're on pace for a 581 run differential. The Cubs seem to club the opposition's pitching staff like no other in history. Just take a look a the stats and how many starting pitchers against the Cubs, irrespective how great the pitcher is, are getting to 100 pitches by the time that the 5th. inning is over. They are making the opposition throw and throw. They take a lot of balls and therefore it looks like after the 1st. game of a series, they have already gone deep into an opponent's bullpen. Decimation of the opposing pitching staff.......unreal.



Ha. Ha. Somebody is reading this......

The following was excerpted from an article published a few hours ago in "Business Insider" by Cork Gaines....

"In baseball, teams can get lucky or unlucky in a single game here and there, so one of the best ways to measure a team is by run differential, or the number of runs they are outscoring their opponents by overall. Using that measure, the Chicago Cubs are doing things on the scoreboard that are unheard of.

Through 30 games, the Cubs have outscored their opponents by 102 runs on their way to a 24-6 record. No other team this season has outscored its opponents by more than 44 runs. To put that in perspective, the Cubs are outscoring their opponents by 3.4 runs a game. The 1927 Yankees, one of the greatest teams ever, outscored their opponents by 2.4 runs a game."
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 10th, 2016 at 5:47:49 AM permalink
05/09/16 Results:
 Royals -100
 Nationals 100
 Reds 105
 Athletics -100
 White Sox 110
 Astros 100
 Diamondbacks 924
 Rays -700

Yesterday's results: 439
+130dogs 924
Other dogs 15
Favorites 200
Focus Picks -700

YTD Total 13,222
+130dogs 1,099
Other dogs 1,769
Favorites 1,261
Focus Picks 9,093
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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May 10th, 2016 at 5:48:32 AM permalink
05/10/16 Picks:
 Marlins -160
 Athletics 117
 Cubs -240
 Rangers 102
 Twins 105
 Diamondbacks -101
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 11th, 2016 at 4:18:49 AM permalink
05/10/16 Results:
 Marlins -160
 Athletics -100
 Cubs 100
 Rangers 102
 Twins -100
 Diamondbacks 100

Yesterday's results: -58
+130dogs 0
Other dogs -98
Favorites 40
Focus Picks 0

YTD Total 13,164
+130dogs 1,099
Other dogs 1,671
Favorites 1,301
Focus Picks 9,093
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 11th, 2016 at 9:16:42 AM permalink
05/11/16 Picks:
 Cubs -255
 Twins 101
 White Sox 132 7X's
 Diamondbacks 130 7X's
 Rays 107
 Royals 135 7X's
 Nationals -153
 Brewers 170 7X's
 Athletics 171 7X's
 Cardinals 111
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
May 11th, 2016 at 9:29:25 AM permalink
Now we're talkin'.

Now we're talkin' your money.

I'm just reading and having some fun.
Thanks, BTW. 2F
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
May 11th, 2016 at 9:33:42 AM permalink
Just remember......I can turn the gray skies blue whenever I want them to. :-)
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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