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If I beat Wizard of Odds Play for Fun Baccarat is that anything?

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May 26th, 2011 at 1:40:59 PM permalink
sardonic
Member since: May 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 2
I'm a sceptical guy, but always trying to invent a system. I like to test my crazy machinations on the Play for Fun baccarat game on the Wizardofodds.com site, plus on the Bodog game (for fun) suggested on the Wizard's site. After many "busts," as crazy as it seems to me, based on all I've read that no system will ever pay off with long term play, I have actually have created a system which will stay way under any casino table limits, and which beats Baccarat and never busts on both of those "for fun games" in literally hundreds of multi-hour sessions over several months.

Is my experience significant enough to warrant taking this to a real land based casino or are those games not realistic examples of baccarat hand distribution?
May 26th, 2011 at 1:50:34 PM permalink
DJTeddyBear
Member since: Nov 2, 2009
Threads: 105
Posts: 5682
Quote: sardonic
Is my experience significant enough to warrant taking this to a real land based casino?
The short answer is "No."

You probably have simply been lucky, and attributed it to the system.

Sure, you can go to a casino and try it, but don't have any false expectations.
Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood?
May 26th, 2011 at 1:50:45 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 14, 2009
Threads: 309
Posts: 6700
Quote: sardonic
Is my experience significant enough to warrant taking this to a real land based casino or are those games not realistic examples of baccarat hand distribution?


Both games realistically represent the real land casino experience. You've just had luck, so far.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
May 26th, 2011 at 2:04:24 PM permalink
odiousgambit
Member since: Nov 9, 2009
Threads: 172
Posts: 2394
It can really fool you. I once played at a play-for-fun craps game where I kept hedging my bets with "any 7" ... knowing better mind you. This is one of the worst betting system ideas ever, I knew it, but it really worked great! I finally just quit doing it so it wouldnt mess with my head.
"Baccarat is a game whereby the croupier gathers in money with a flexible sculling oar, then rakes it home. If I could have borrowed his oar I would have stayed." Mark Twain
May 26th, 2011 at 4:27:33 PM permalink
HotBlonde
Member since: Feb 8, 2011
Threads: 31
Posts: 772
Boy, if I had a dollar for every time I came across someone who thinks they had a sure betting system...........
"...see and think about yourself as the master of your own fate..." - Brian Tracy
May 26th, 2011 at 6:10:16 PM permalink
EvenBob
Member since: Jul 18, 2010
Threads: 231
Posts: 6361
Quote: sardonic


Is my experience significant enough to warrant taking this to a real land based casino


I'd empty out the bank account, cash in the retirement, borrow from neighbors and friends, and burn rubber to the casino.

OR

Practice it at home for few more months, examine every possible scenerio that can happen, and really find out whats going on. Its up to you..
One casino owner to another: "It would be so much easier if we could just hit them over the head, steal their money, and throw their bodies in the creek." Al Swearengen, Deadwood
May 26th, 2011 at 10:40:59 PM permalink
sardonic
Member since: May 26, 2011
Threads: 1
Posts: 2
Thanks so much for all the replies. That is what I suspected (probably not going to be worth while as a method), but with the knowledge that those two games are realistic representations of the real thing, I am going to vigorously test for a while longer. I am always looking for (expecting) that series of busts... that so often happens. However, I'll keep my fingers crossed.
May 27th, 2011 at 5:23:52 AM permalink
EvenBob
Member since: Jul 18, 2010
Threads: 231
Posts: 6361
Quote: sardonic
I am going to vigorously test for a while longer.


And when you think you've done enough, you haven't. You'll know when testing is over, don't push it.
One casino owner to another: "It would be so much easier if we could just hit them over the head, steal their money, and throw their bodies in the creek." Al Swearengen, Deadwood
May 27th, 2011 at 6:41:53 AM permalink
weaselman
Member since: Jul 11, 2010
Threads: 16
Posts: 1911
The sad thing is that the more thoroughly you test with positive results, the more the sure you get ... and the less likely you are to win when you finally play for real money, because after all these successful sessions, a huge loss becomes more and more due.
"When two people always agree one of them is unnecessary"
May 27th, 2011 at 7:18:28 AM permalink
thecesspit
Member since: Apr 19, 2010
Threads: 38
Posts: 3101
Quote: weaselman
The sad thing is that the more thoroughly you test with positive results, the more the sure you get ... and the less likely you are to win when you finally play for real money, because after all these successful sessions, a huge loss becomes more and more due.



!!!! Or I'm missing the sarcasm....
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept through nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire, for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
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Bovada is the only Internet casino endorsed by the Wizard.
Here are my reasons why and my promise of support.