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Three card poker-do i have the edge??

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July 14th, 2011 at 6:05:16 AM permalink
triple
Member since: Jul 14, 2011
Threads: 0
Posts: 1
Quote: rdw4potus
The result of that playing strategy is that you lose 2 units when you have a bad hand and the dealer has a good hand, but win 1 unit when both of you have bad hands.


I am bit confused about this though.
If we fold ---> we lose 1 unit
If we call and lose ---> we lose 2 units (1+1)
If we call and dealer does not qualify ---> we win 1 unit and we also get back the original unit that would be lost if we fold.

My point is that the first unit is already in the middle and we cannot take it back, so when we come to decision on whether to place the second unit or not we have 2-1 immediate odds as if dealer does not qualify, not only we get back out ante, but we also win another unit from the dealer.

And when the dealer does qualify we can still win if we have the best hand.

Does anyone know the % of the dealer qualifying, considering not only the 12 high cards (As, Ks, Qs), but also pairs/straights/flushes? I think if we know that and then we know how a totally random hand performs against a random hand that qualifies, then we can run some equity calculations....
July 14th, 2011 at 7:09:17 AM permalink
rdw4potus
Member since: Mar 11, 2010
Threads: 57
Posts: 1946
Dealer does not qualify is about 20%, dealer win (or player fold) is about 55%, player win is about 25%. There's a table, and a very good mathematical analysis here.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
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