Lets say u saw a hypothetical system at a negative ev game. Everytime u watched your systembwould hav been a winner. You refuse to make any wagering because you kno systems dont work but every time you watch for months on end it works and you woyld have been a winner if you had wagered
Now would you finally take a gamble and use the system finally or would you still ignore what you saw because you are absolutely certain systems dont work
Reply honestly. Im not saying there is a system out there so please no math breakdowns. This is purely a hypothetical question about how determined you are to believe what you observe vs what you know
If I was certain it would be -EV I wouldn't spend anytime scouting the play. If I thought there might be a chance that it was good and it just happened to keep winning when I was watching, I probably would play it for small amounts before I was able to look into it further.