snorkleboy13
snorkleboy13
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November 13th, 2016 at 2:41:09 PM permalink
I have been playing around with betting systems a bit. I don't believe that there is some kind of undiscovered magic system that will guarantee a win. However, I am interested in discovering the best way to simulate the results of a series of varying bets in BlackJack.

Example: Unit = $5 // Bet $50 on first hand // Increase bet by 1 unit after a win or loss // Return to original bet after a loss // Then model different combinations of Wins and Losses.

I want to play around a bit with increases/decreases, # of units, etc. and win or loss streak of up to 10 in a row.

Is there anything out there that would help do this? (C++ code isn't going to work for me. I'll just hurt myself.)
RS
RS
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November 13th, 2016 at 3:10:41 PM permalink
This might help: https://wizardofodds.com/games/blackjack/appendix/4/
snorkleboy13
snorkleboy13
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November 13th, 2016 at 3:34:37 PM permalink
Thanks but I don't think that's going to do it. I really don't care about the probabilities that I will or won't beat the dealer. All I want to do is play around with different bets, +/- increments after a win or a loss, # of times to increment and # of wins/losses in a row and keep a running total.
RS
RS
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November 13th, 2016 at 3:36:42 PM permalink
How you going to figure out how frequently you win if you don't know the probability of a win?
snorkleboy13
snorkleboy13
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November 13th, 2016 at 4:01:28 PM permalink
It won't really matter to me in this case. If I can model the betting strategy, then I can just feed it a series of +1, -1 or 0 to simulate win, lose and push, and I'll have a simplified series of answers for how the betting strategy works. It won't take into account splits, doubles or surrenders, but I'm just interested in understanding how to model it and the general results.
charliepatrick
charliepatrick
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November 14th, 2016 at 6:42:00 PM permalink
If you're not looking for a rigorous solution then one idea is to use time or something simple to shuffle cards and deal shoes of Blackjack. Using infinite strategy play out some hands to get a distribution of the various wins and losses (note they are not always +1 -1 due to double, splits, BJs and some hands winning some not). You may also find there's some correlation - for instance you're less likely to win after a Blackjack as the deck has just lost an Ace and a picture card. Since I'm assuming you reset at the top of a shoe, you can run as many shoes as you like.
Camt754
Camt754
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November 24th, 2016 at 8:33:58 AM permalink
Hey guys, im new to the forum! I joined because I am in search of blackjack simulation software. Who offers the best blackjack simulation software. I would like to test some different progressions. I know that long term it wont change anything and that flat bets are the best. However i would like the software so i can play with some different things. If anyone can help that would be cool! Thanks
Mobcasinos
Mobcasinos
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December 1st, 2016 at 6:28:30 AM permalink
Maybe you know how to program but you don't know hacking. I personally think the system is still vulnerable on hacking. But knowing it would be very hard to do. Some system are computer generated betting game. Some are just collect bet and wait for the result in the real world.
snorkleboy13
snorkleboy13
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December 1st, 2016 at 6:55:46 AM permalink
Update on my original post - There is a app/environment/language called R that is used by the statistics/analytics crowd. It's got a fairly steep learning curve, but it is pretty powerful. I did a little internetting around and someone shared with me a blackjack simulator that can be modified to change the rules and the betting strategies. I'm just coming up to speed on it and have run a few simulations. If/when I get something meaningful going, I'll be happy to share it.
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