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BlackJack- Card Counting + Optimum Martingale = Proven Effectiveness

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July 9th, 2010 at 3:47:26 AM permalink
LVJackal
Member since: Jun 1, 2010
Threads: 1
Posts: 32
Sheeesh, so much wrong with this:

If a counter; the double small martingale vs. the advantage martingale cuts into a rather thin top possible advantage of roughly 2%. Any computer system is rather easy to decipher and works like this: total bet x advantage, vs. total bet x disadvantage.. no system will ever miss this and IF it does.. DUH you didnt play with an edge to begin with!!! Cant count in one sitting the total number of wannabe advantage players who thought they could beat the game but didnt understand the first step in true advantage play.... instead they sat there gambling it up at a disadvantage thinking they were the smartest player on the planet and laughing it up when promo chips were sent their way instead of comps blaming variance on their 200 max bet downswings.

Now, for clarity, a martingale is a good cover play, it cuts into your overall advantage (which as a card counter is unbelievably thin)the card counters usual maximum advantage is the equivalent to QQ vs. AK in poker, which is deemed a "coin flip". So now instead of the previously planned 2% advantage we are more likely facing a 0.75% advantage and wondering why our Risk Of Ruin numbers were so skewed? If you bet an aggregate total of $1k in the negative and $10k in the positive even the "special" kid taking your order at McDonald's will spot it, nevermind a computer designed for that sole specific purpose.

There are plenty of viable materials to study on this exact scheme as well as similar ones.. I suggest: Blackjack attack by Schlessinger, Burning the Tables In Las Vegas and then Beyond Counting Exhibit CAA which debunks it all.. there flat out is no easy way to sit back and play an advantage game heat free while raking in the cash, instead it is an artform of balancing on a razors edge knowing all the while the welcome mat for you has a time limit....
July 15th, 2010 at 9:55:53 PM permalink
Thunk
Member since: Jun 18, 2010
Threads: 1
Posts: 8
Like f2d says. The only time I will ever bet more than four times my lowest common bet is if the count is very high and I am still winning, although... you really pocket the cash when you opt to simply let it ride if the count is still high. Or even reset when you're comfortable with the amount I've taken in during that heater. Knowing when to do that has been imperitive to my success, and not doing it effectively can crush you. Conversely, if the count is very low, I might not double my bet even if I continue to lose. I'll just flat-bet until the count evens out. This is tricky though because if you make it too obvious, it blows your cover.
August 10th, 2010 at 4:04:27 AM permalink
LVJackal
Member since: Jun 1, 2010
Threads: 1
Posts: 32
Another thing to consider.. if spreading 1-4 in negatives you have an average negative bet of roughly 2.3 units.. a 1-8 no longer cuts it in gaining an edge. Your new unit it 2.5 as 1 and 15 as six...
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Bovada is the only Internet casino endorsed by the Wizard.
Here are my reasons why and my promise of support.