scepticus
scepticus
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Joined: Oct 16, 2013
July 24th, 2014 at 6:13:26 AM permalink
Hi
Some years ago I posed that question to the wizard Of odds in relation to 37 number roulette.
His cryptic reply was " It depends on your perception "
I emailed using either my real name or as my then username Fergus Lee.
JimRockford
JimRockford
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Joined: Apr 17, 2012
July 24th, 2014 at 10:53:25 AM permalink
Quote: winbac

From the beginning post, I've consistently stated that my system is winning and would like to continue to test it. Recall my first and only question was how long? How many shoes / hands? It was an honest question.

I think Mustang Sally and a chart by the Wizard gave you a pretty good answer on page 1. If something less than 100% us good enough then it doesn't take 416! hands or whatever. It is on the order of 10,000 to 20,000.
Quote: winbac

So I tried several times to explain that long term probability doesn't apply to the individual gambler. Only the casino can rely on the long term.

If you refuse to accept the math based on probability then I guess you could just make up your own answer.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
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